Superliga·Regular Season - 22·
Superliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.223.32safe0.13–2.071.37–3.071.50–5.14safer0.00–2.321.14–3.301.02–5.62
Shots on target
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.896.3110.20safe2.03–5.764.56–8.056.59–13.80safer1.54–6.254.10–8.515.64–14.76
Total shots
14%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4916.8028.30safe7.57–15.4213.24–20.3720.81–35.79safer6.48–16.5112.28–21.3218.76–37.84
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6911.9119.60safe4.75–10.639.23–14.5913.98–25.23safer3.92–11.468.49–15.3312.41–26.79
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.964.507.45safe1.07–4.842.84–6.153.92–10.99safer0.53–5.382.35–6.642.88–12.02
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.205.559.75safe1.98–6.413.55–7.555.53–13.96safer1.41–6.983.02–8.084.43–15.07
Possession %
23%
74%
homeawayprediction43.8455.52safe37.05–50.6348.74–62.31safer35.38–52.3047.07–63.98
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction425501926safe357–492435–568792–1059safer339–510417–585756–1095
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction65.3473.52safe61.31–69.3769.20–77.85safer60.02–70.6667.89–79.16
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4712.3523.82safe8.63–14.319.41–15.3018.04–29.61safer7.88–15.068.66–16.0516.54–31.11
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.923.65safe0.57–2.890.82–3.011.39–5.90safer0.27–3.190.54–3.300.80–6.49
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.743.77safe0.98–3.080.61–2.871.59–5.95safer0.71–3.340.32–3.161.04–6.51
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.706.65safe2.51–5.391.15–4.263.66–9.65safer2.13–5.770.72–4.682.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 2.22 1.37–3.07 1.14–3.30 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 18% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.03–5.76 1.54–6.25 | 6.31 4.56–8.05 4.10–8.51 | 10.20 6.59–13.80 5.64–14.76 | 18% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.49 7.57–15.42 6.48–16.51 | 16.80 13.24–20.37 12.28–21.32 | 28.30 20.81–35.79 18.76–37.84 | 14% 82% |
| Shots in box | 7.69 4.75–10.63 3.92–11.46 | 11.91 9.23–14.59 8.49–15.33 | 19.60 13.98–25.23 12.41–26.79 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.07–4.84 0.53–5.38 | 4.50 2.84–6.15 2.35–6.64 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.02 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 4.20 1.98–6.41 1.41–6.98 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.02–8.08 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 43.84 37.05–50.63 35.38–52.30 | 55.52 48.74–62.31 47.07–63.98 | — | 23% 74% |
| Passes | 425 357–492 339–510 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 926 792–1059 756–1095 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.34 61.31–69.37 60.02–70.66 | 73.52 69.20–77.85 67.89–79.16 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.63–14.31 7.88–15.06 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 23.82 18.04–29.61 16.54–31.11 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.92 0.82–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.95 2.51–5.39 2.13–5.77 | 2.70 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 6.65 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.