Superliga·Regular Season - 22·
Superliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.142.98safe0.87–2.810.28–1.991.15–4.80safer0.62–3.060.06–2.220.67–5.28
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.169.79safe3.77–7.502.42–5.906.19–13.40safer3.28–7.991.95–6.375.23–14.35
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4511.8428.28safe12.52–20.378.27–15.4020.80–35.77safer11.43–21.467.31–16.3618.75–37.82
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.897.6818.57safe7.95–13.835.00–10.3612.95–24.19safer7.12–14.664.26–11.0911.38–25.76
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.987.09safe2.23–5.991.33–4.633.55–10.62safer1.68–6.530.83–5.122.52–11.66
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.219.88safe3.45–7.882.21–6.215.66–14.09safer2.87–8.451.68–6.754.56–15.20
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.6648.37safe45.87–59.4541.59–55.16safer44.20–61.1239.92–56.83
Passes
60%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction456425881safe389–524358–491747–1015safer371–542341–509712–1050
Pass accuracy %
41%
53%
homeawayprediction69.0170.19safe64.99–73.0465.87–74.52safer63.69–74.3464.56–75.83
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0112.2625.27safe10.18–15.859.32–15.2119.49–31.06safer9.42–16.618.57–15.9517.99–32.56
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.763.47safe0.55–2.870.66–2.851.21–5.72safer0.25–3.170.38–3.140.62–6.31
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.763.21safe0.39–2.490.63–2.891.03–5.38safer0.13–2.760.34–3.180.47–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
34%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.496.43safe1.50–4.371.94–5.053.44–9.42safer1.11–4.761.51–5.472.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.63 3.77–7.50 3.28–7.99 | 4.16 2.42–5.90 1.95–6.37 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.35 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.45 12.52–20.37 11.43–21.46 | 11.84 8.27–15.40 7.31–16.36 | 28.28 20.80–35.77 18.75–37.82 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.89 7.95–13.83 7.12–14.66 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.09 | 18.57 12.95–24.19 11.38–25.76 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.45–7.88 2.87–8.45 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.68–6.75 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 52.66 45.87–59.45 44.20–61.12 | 48.37 41.59–55.16 39.92–56.83 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 456 389–524 371–542 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 881 747–1015 712–1050 | 60% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.01 64.99–73.04 63.69–74.34 | 70.19 65.87–74.52 64.56–75.83 | — | 41% 53% |
| Fouls | 13.01 10.18–15.85 9.42–16.61 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.95 | 25.27 19.49–31.06 17.99–32.56 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.21 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 34% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.