Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.670.833.50safe1.71–3.640.00–1.681.68–5.33safer1.45–3.890.00–1.911.20–5.81
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.132.639.76safe5.27–8.990.89–4.376.16–13.37safer4.78–9.480.42–4.845.20–14.32
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.517.9528.46safe16.59–24.444.39–11.5120.98–35.95safer15.50–25.533.43–12.4718.92–38.00
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.375.0618.43safe10.43–16.312.38–7.7412.81–24.06safer9.60–17.141.64–8.4811.24–25.62
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.072.067.13safe3.19–6.950.41–3.713.59–10.66safer2.64–7.490.00–4.202.56–11.70
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.202.8310.03safe4.99–9.410.83–4.835.81–14.24safer4.41–9.990.29–5.364.71–15.35
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction67.3833.23safe60.59–74.1726.44–40.01safer58.92–75.8424.77–41.68
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction632287919safe564–699221–354785–1053safer546–717203–371750–1088
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction89.5876.30safe85.55–93.6171.98–80.63safer84.26–94.9170.67–81.94
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6412.4122.05safe6.80–12.479.47–15.3616.27–27.83safer6.04–13.238.72–16.1114.76–29.34
Offsides
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.103.53safe0.27–2.591.01–3.191.27–5.78safer0.00–2.890.72–3.480.69–6.37
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.444.09safe0.60–2.701.31–3.571.91–6.27safer0.33–2.961.02–3.861.35–6.82
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.974.566.53safe0.53–3.403.01–6.123.54–9.52safer0.14–3.792.58–6.542.73–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.67 1.71–3.64 1.45–3.89 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.50 1.68–5.33 1.20–5.81 | 76% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.13 5.27–8.99 4.78–9.48 | 2.63 0.89–4.37 0.42–4.84 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 91% |
| Total shots | 20.51 16.59–24.44 15.50–25.53 | 7.95 4.39–11.51 3.43–12.47 | 28.46 20.98–35.95 18.92–38.00 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.37 10.43–16.31 9.60–17.14 | 5.06 2.38–7.74 1.64–8.48 | 18.43 12.81–24.06 11.24–25.62 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.95 2.64–7.49 | 2.06 0.41–3.71 0.00–4.20 | 7.13 3.59–10.66 2.56–11.70 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.20 4.99–9.41 4.41–9.99 | 2.83 0.83–4.83 0.29–5.36 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 89% |
| Possession % | 67.38 60.59–74.17 58.92–75.84 | 33.23 26.44–40.01 24.77–41.68 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 632 564–699 546–717 | 287 221–354 203–371 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.58 85.55–93.61 84.26–94.91 | 76.30 71.98–80.63 70.67–81.94 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.64 6.80–12.47 6.04–13.23 | 12.41 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 22.05 16.27–27.83 14.76–29.34 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 2.10 1.01–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.35–6.82 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 4.56 3.01–6.12 2.58–6.54 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.73–10.33 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.