Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.943.27safe0.37–2.301.08–2.791.45–5.09safer0.12–2.550.85–3.020.97–5.57
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.605.8710.47safe2.74–6.464.13–7.616.86–14.07safer2.25–6.953.66–8.085.91–15.03
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1715.2228.39safe9.25–17.1011.66–18.7820.91–35.88safer8.16–18.1910.70–19.7418.86–37.93
Shots in box
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2910.8019.09safe5.34–11.238.12–13.4813.47–24.71safer4.52–12.067.38–14.2211.90–26.28
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.877.48safe1.73–5.502.21–5.523.95–11.02safer1.19–6.041.72–6.012.91–12.06
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.765.199.95safe2.55–6.983.19–7.195.74–14.17safer1.98–7.552.66–7.724.63–15.28
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.0855.18safe38.29–51.8848.39–61.96safer36.62–53.5446.72–63.63
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction4445591003safe377–511492–625869–1137safer359–529475–643834–1172
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction86.0388.05safe82.00–90.0683.73–92.38safer80.71–91.3582.42–93.69
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9110.4620.37safe7.07–12.757.52–13.4114.59–26.16safer6.32–13.506.77–14.1613.09–27.66
Offsides
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.234.13safe0.74–3.061.13–3.321.87–6.38safer0.44–3.360.85–3.611.28–6.97
Yellow cards
35%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.623.09safe0.42–2.520.50–2.750.91–5.27safer0.15–2.780.20–3.040.36–5.83
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.216.95safe2.30–5.171.66–4.773.95–9.94safer1.91–5.561.23–5.193.14–10.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.37–2.30 0.12–2.55 | 1.94 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.74–6.46 2.25–6.95 | 5.87 4.13–7.61 3.66–8.08 | 10.47 6.86–14.07 5.91–15.03 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 13.17 9.25–17.10 8.16–18.19 | 15.22 11.66–18.78 10.70–19.74 | 28.39 20.91–35.88 18.86–37.93 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.29 5.34–11.23 4.52–12.06 | 10.80 8.12–13.48 7.38–14.22 | 19.09 13.47–24.71 11.90–26.28 | 24% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.87 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.06 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.55–6.98 1.98–7.55 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.66–7.72 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.28 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 45.08 38.29–51.88 36.62–53.54 | 55.18 48.39–61.96 46.72–63.63 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–529 | 559 492–625 475–643 | 1003 869–1137 834–1172 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.03 82.00–90.06 80.71–91.35 | 88.05 83.73–92.38 82.42–93.69 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.07–12.75 6.32–13.50 | 10.46 7.52–13.41 6.77–14.16 | 20.37 14.59–26.16 13.09–27.66 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 4.13 1.87–6.38 1.28–6.97 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 1.62 0.50–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 35% 24% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.73 2.30–5.17 1.91–5.56 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.95 3.95–9.94 3.14–10.75 | 50% 15% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.