Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.012.67safe0.69–2.620.16–1.870.85–4.49safer0.44–2.880.00–2.100.37–4.97
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.143.198.34safe3.28–7.011.45–4.944.73–11.94safer2.79–7.500.99–5.403.78–12.90
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.409.9724.37safe10.47–18.326.41–13.5316.88–31.86safer9.38–19.415.45–14.4914.83–33.91
Shots in box
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.206.2416.45safe7.26–13.153.56–8.9310.82–22.07safer6.43–13.972.83–9.669.26–23.64
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.172.626.78safe2.28–6.050.96–4.273.25–10.32safer1.74–6.590.47–4.762.21–11.35
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.893.669.55safe3.68–8.101.66–5.665.34–13.77safer3.10–8.681.13–6.204.23–14.87
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.3942.22safe50.60–64.1835.43–49.00safer48.93–65.8533.76–50.68
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction513378892safe446–581312–445758–1025safer428–599294–462722–1061
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction85.8880.28safe81.85–89.9175.95–84.60safer80.56–91.2074.64–85.91
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2614.4426.71safe9.42–15.1011.50–17.3920.92–32.49safer8.67–15.8510.75–18.1419.42–33.99
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.381.353.73safe1.22–3.540.25–2.441.47–5.98safer0.92–3.840.00–2.730.89–6.57
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.464.15safe0.64–2.731.33–3.591.97–6.33safer0.37–3.001.04–3.881.41–6.89
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.475.67safe0.77–3.641.91–5.022.68–8.66safer0.38–4.031.49–5.451.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.62 0.44–2.88 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 52% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.14 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 3.19 1.45–4.94 0.99–5.40 | 8.34 4.73–11.94 3.78–12.90 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.40 10.47–18.32 9.38–19.41 | 9.97 6.41–13.53 5.45–14.49 | 24.37 16.88–31.86 14.83–33.91 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.20 7.26–13.15 6.43–13.97 | 6.24 3.56–8.93 2.83–9.66 | 16.45 10.82–22.07 9.26–23.64 | 80% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.28–6.05 1.74–6.59 | 2.62 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 3.66 1.66–5.66 1.13–6.20 | 9.55 5.34–13.77 4.23–14.87 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.39 50.60–64.18 48.93–65.85 | 42.22 35.43–49.00 33.76–50.68 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 513 446–581 428–599 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 892 758–1025 722–1061 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.88 81.85–89.91 80.56–91.20 | 80.28 75.95–84.60 74.64–85.91 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.42–15.10 8.67–15.85 | 14.44 11.50–17.39 10.75–18.14 | 26.71 20.92–32.49 19.42–33.99 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.38 1.22–3.54 0.92–3.84 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.46 1.33–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.15 1.97–6.33 1.41–6.89 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.47 1.91–5.02 1.49–5.45 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.