Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.330.863.19safe1.36–3.290.01–1.721.37–5.01safer1.11–3.550.00–1.950.89–5.49
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.552.9610.51safe5.69–9.411.22–4.706.91–14.12safer5.20–9.900.75–5.175.95–15.07
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.358.5629.91safe17.43–25.274.99–12.1222.42–37.39safer16.33–26.374.03–13.0820.37–39.44
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.325.3218.64safe10.38–16.262.64–8.0013.02–24.26safer9.55–17.091.90–8.7411.45–25.83
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.802.248.04safe3.92–7.680.59–3.894.51–11.58safer3.37–8.230.10–4.393.47–12.61
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.782.8010.58safe5.57–10.000.80–4.806.37–14.80safer5.00–10.570.27–5.345.26–15.90
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.3936.11safe56.60–70.1829.33–42.90safer54.93–71.8527.66–44.57
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction625369994safe558–692302–435860–1127safer540–710285–453824–1163
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction87.1277.60safe83.09–91.1573.28–81.92safer81.80–92.4471.97–83.23
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0311.5622.59safe8.19–13.868.62–14.5016.80–28.37safer7.43–14.627.87–15.2515.30–29.87
Offsides
16%
15%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.533.154.69safe0.37–2.692.06–4.252.43–6.94safer0.07–2.991.77–4.541.84–7.53
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.193.48safe0.24–2.341.06–3.321.30–5.66safer0.00–2.600.77–3.610.74–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.906.96safe0.63–3.503.34–6.453.97–9.96safer0.24–3.892.92–6.883.16–10.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.33 1.36–3.29 1.11–3.55 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 7.55 5.69–9.41 5.20–9.90 | 2.96 1.22–4.70 0.75–5.17 | 10.51 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.07 | 90% |
| Total shots | 21.35 17.43–25.27 16.33–26.37 | 8.56 4.99–12.12 4.03–13.08 | 29.91 22.42–37.39 20.37–39.44 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.32 10.38–16.26 9.55–17.09 | 5.32 2.64–8.00 1.90–8.74 | 18.64 13.02–24.26 11.45–25.83 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.80 3.92–7.68 3.37–8.23 | 2.24 0.59–3.89 0.10–4.39 | 8.04 4.51–11.58 3.47–12.61 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.78 5.57–10.00 5.00–10.57 | 2.80 0.80–4.80 0.27–5.34 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 92% |
| Possession % | 63.39 56.60–70.18 54.93–71.85 | 36.11 29.33–42.90 27.66–44.57 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 625 558–692 540–710 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 994 860–1127 824–1163 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.12 83.09–91.15 81.80–92.44 | 77.60 73.28–81.92 71.97–83.23 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.19–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 11.56 8.62–14.50 7.87–15.25 | 22.59 16.80–28.37 15.30–29.87 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 3.15 2.06–4.25 1.77–4.54 | 4.69 2.43–6.94 1.84–7.53 | 16% 15% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.60 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 4.90 3.34–6.45 2.92–6.88 | 6.96 3.97–9.96 3.16–10.77 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.