Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.813.07safe1.29–3.230.00–1.661.25–4.89safer1.04–3.480.00–1.890.77–5.37
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.722.789.50safe4.86–8.581.04–4.535.90–13.11safer4.37–9.070.58–4.994.94–14.06
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction17.017.6724.68safe13.09–20.934.11–11.2317.19–32.17safer11.99–22.033.15–12.1915.14–34.22
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction11.844.5716.42safe8.90–14.781.89–7.2510.79–22.04safer8.07–15.611.15–7.999.23–23.61
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.402.066.46safe2.52–6.280.41–3.722.93–10.00safer1.97–6.820.00–4.211.89–11.03
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.412.849.25safe4.20–8.630.84–4.845.04–13.46safer3.63–9.200.30–5.373.93–14.57
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.8744.01safe49.08–62.6637.22–50.79safer47.41–64.3335.55–52.46
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction510410920safe443–577343–476786–1054safer425–595326–494751–1089
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction81.4777.43safe77.44–85.5073.11–81.75safer76.15–86.7971.80–83.06
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5911.5524.14safe9.75–15.438.61–14.5018.36–29.93safer9.00–16.187.86–15.2516.86–31.43
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.421.383.80safe1.26–3.580.29–2.481.54–6.05safer0.95–3.880.00–2.760.95–6.64
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.093.50safe0.36–2.460.97–3.221.32–5.68safer0.09–2.720.67–3.510.77–6.24
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.994.596.58safe0.56–3.433.03–6.153.59–9.58safer0.17–3.822.61–6.572.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.72 4.86–8.58 4.37–9.07 | 2.78 1.04–4.53 0.58–4.99 | 9.50 5.90–13.11 4.94–14.06 | 87% |
| Total shots | 17.01 13.09–20.93 11.99–22.03 | 7.67 4.11–11.23 3.15–12.19 | 24.68 17.19–32.17 15.14–34.22 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.84 8.90–14.78 8.07–15.61 | 4.57 1.89–7.25 1.15–7.99 | 16.42 10.79–22.04 9.23–23.61 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 2.06 0.41–3.72 0.00–4.21 | 6.46 2.93–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.63 3.63–9.20 | 2.84 0.84–4.84 0.30–5.37 | 9.25 5.04–13.46 3.93–14.57 | 85% |
| Possession % | 55.87 49.08–62.66 47.41–64.33 | 44.01 37.22–50.79 35.55–52.46 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 510 443–577 425–595 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.47 77.44–85.50 76.15–86.79 | 77.43 73.11–81.75 71.80–83.06 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.59 9.75–15.43 9.00–16.18 | 11.55 8.61–14.50 7.86–15.25 | 24.14 18.36–29.93 16.86–31.43 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.95–3.88 | 1.38 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.76 | 3.80 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 4.59 3.03–6.15 2.61–6.57 | 6.58 3.59–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.