Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
23%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.740.852.59safe0.78–2.710.00–1.700.77–4.42safer0.52–2.960.00–1.930.29–4.90
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.803.098.89safe3.94–7.661.35–4.835.28–12.49safer3.45–8.150.88–5.304.33–13.45
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.659.8426.48safe12.72–20.576.27–13.4019.00–33.97safer11.63–21.665.31–14.3616.94–36.02
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.155.6815.82safe7.20–13.093.00–8.3610.20–21.45safer6.37–13.922.26–9.108.63–23.01
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.286.30safe2.14–5.900.63–3.932.77–9.84safer1.59–6.450.14–4.431.73–10.87
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.9810.05safe3.86–8.291.98–5.985.84–14.27safer3.29–8.861.45–6.514.73–15.37
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.2939.97safe53.50–67.0833.18–46.75safer51.83–68.7531.51–48.42
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction536360897safe469–604294–427763–1030safer451–622276–444727–1066
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction86.8379.50safe82.80–90.8675.18–83.83safer81.51–92.1573.87–85.14
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8413.3024.14safe8.00–13.6810.35–16.2418.35–29.92safer7.25–14.439.60–16.9916.85–31.42
Offsides
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.241.294.53safe2.08–4.400.20–2.382.28–6.79safer1.78–4.700.00–2.671.69–7.37
Yellow cards
24%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.303.74safe0.39–2.491.17–3.431.56–5.92safer0.13–2.760.88–3.721.01–6.48
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.153.735.88safe0.71–3.592.18–5.292.89–8.88safer0.33–3.971.75–5.712.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.78–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 59% 23% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.80 3.94–7.66 3.45–8.15 | 3.09 1.35–4.83 0.88–5.30 | 8.89 5.28–12.49 4.33–13.45 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.65 12.72–20.57 11.63–21.66 | 9.84 6.27–13.40 5.31–14.36 | 26.48 19.00–33.97 16.94–36.02 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.15 7.20–13.09 6.37–13.92 | 5.68 3.00–8.36 2.26–9.10 | 15.82 10.20–21.45 8.63–23.01 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.45 | 2.28 0.63–3.93 0.14–4.43 | 6.30 2.77–9.84 1.73–10.87 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.29 3.29–8.86 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.45–6.51 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 60.29 53.50–67.08 51.83–68.75 | 39.97 33.18–46.75 31.51–48.42 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 536 469–604 451–622 | 360 294–427 276–444 | 897 763–1030 727–1066 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.83 82.80–90.86 81.51–92.15 | 79.50 75.18–83.83 73.87–85.14 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.84 8.00–13.68 7.25–14.43 | 13.30 10.35–16.24 9.60–16.99 | 24.14 18.35–29.92 16.85–31.42 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 3.24 2.08–4.40 1.78–4.70 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 4.53 2.28–6.79 1.69–7.37 | 75% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 24% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.59 0.33–3.97 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 5.88 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.