Serie A·Regular Season - 12·
Serie A·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.482.64safe0.20–2.130.62–2.330.82–4.47safer0.00–2.390.40–2.560.34–4.95
Shots on target
36%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.894.458.34safe2.03–5.762.70–6.194.74–11.95safer1.54–6.252.24–6.663.78–12.90
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7413.2926.03safe8.81–16.669.73–16.8518.54–33.52safer7.72–17.758.77–17.8116.49–35.57
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.158.4816.64safe5.21–11.105.80–11.1611.01–22.26safer4.38–11.935.06–11.909.45–23.83
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.576.90safe1.45–5.211.92–5.223.37–10.44safer0.91–5.761.42–5.722.33–11.47
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.849.74safe2.69–7.112.84–6.845.53–13.96safer2.11–7.692.31–7.384.42–15.06
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.0349.71safe43.24–56.8242.92–56.49safer41.57–58.4941.25–58.16
Passes
50%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction405403808safe338–472337–469674–941safer319–490319–487638–977
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction78.3175.04safe74.28–82.3470.71–79.36safer72.99–83.6369.40–80.67
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6914.0426.74safe9.85–15.5311.10–16.9920.95–32.52safer9.10–16.2810.35–17.7419.45–34.02
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.282.84safe0.40–2.720.19–2.370.58–5.09safer0.10–3.020.00–2.660.00–5.68
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.023.83safe0.76–2.860.89–3.151.65–6.01safer0.49–3.130.60–3.441.10–6.57
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.042.955.99safe1.61–4.481.39–4.503.00–8.98safer1.22–4.870.97–4.932.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.39 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.40–2.56 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.03–5.76 1.54–6.25 | 4.45 2.70–6.19 2.24–6.66 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 36% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.74 8.81–16.66 7.72–17.75 | 13.29 9.73–16.85 8.77–17.81 | 26.03 18.54–33.52 16.49–35.57 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.15 5.21–11.10 4.38–11.93 | 8.48 5.80–11.16 5.06–11.90 | 16.64 11.01–22.26 9.45–23.83 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.21 0.91–5.76 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.42–5.72 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.69–7.11 2.11–7.69 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.38 | 9.74 5.53–13.96 4.42–15.06 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 50.03 43.24–56.82 41.57–58.49 | 49.71 42.92–56.49 41.25–58.16 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 405 338–472 319–490 | 403 337–469 319–487 | 808 674–941 638–977 | 50% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.31 74.28–82.34 72.99–83.63 | 75.04 70.71–79.36 69.40–80.67 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 12.69 9.85–15.53 9.10–16.28 | 14.04 11.10–16.99 10.35–17.74 | 26.74 20.95–32.52 19.45–34.02 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.84 0.58–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.13 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.19–9.80 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.