Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.103.08safe1.01–2.950.25–1.961.26–4.90safer0.76–3.200.02–2.190.78–5.38
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.743.819.55safe3.88–7.602.07–5.555.94–13.15safer3.39–8.091.60–6.024.98–14.11
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1910.1626.34safe12.26–20.116.59–13.7218.86–33.83safer11.17–21.215.63–14.6816.81–35.88
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.576.3917.96safe8.63–14.513.71–9.0712.34–23.58safer7.80–15.342.97–9.8110.77–25.15
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.392.807.19safe2.50–6.271.15–4.453.65–10.72safer1.96–6.810.65–4.952.62–11.76
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.7110.14safe4.22–8.651.71–5.715.93–14.36safer3.65–9.221.17–6.244.82–15.46
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction53.6945.99safe46.90–60.4839.21–52.78safer45.23–62.1537.54–54.45
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction514444957safe446–581377–510824–1091safer428–599360–528788–1127
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction82.1980.91safe78.16–86.2276.59–85.24safer76.86–87.5175.28–86.55
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9210.5622.48safe9.08–14.767.62–13.5116.70–28.26safer8.33–15.516.87–14.2515.19–29.77
Offsides
66%
17%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.591.253.85safe1.43–3.750.16–2.351.59–6.10safer1.13–4.060.00–2.631.00–6.69
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.773.19safe0.37–2.470.64–2.891.01–5.37safer0.11–2.740.35–3.190.45–5.92
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.736.23safe1.06–3.932.18–5.293.23–9.22safer0.67–4.321.75–5.712.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 58% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.74 3.88–7.60 3.39–8.09 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.11 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.19 12.26–20.11 11.17–21.21 | 10.16 6.59–13.72 5.63–14.68 | 26.34 18.86–33.83 16.81–35.88 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.57 8.63–14.51 7.80–15.34 | 6.39 3.71–9.07 2.97–9.81 | 17.96 12.34–23.58 10.77–25.15 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 2.80 1.15–4.45 0.65–4.95 | 7.19 3.65–10.72 2.62–11.76 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.22–8.65 3.65–9.22 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.17–6.24 | 10.14 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.46 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 53.69 46.90–60.48 45.23–62.15 | 45.99 39.21–52.78 37.54–54.45 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 514 446–581 428–599 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 957 824–1091 788–1127 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.19 78.16–86.22 76.86–87.51 | 80.91 76.59–85.24 75.28–86.55 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.76 8.33–15.51 | 10.56 7.62–13.51 6.87–14.25 | 22.48 16.70–28.26 15.19–29.77 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.59 1.43–3.75 1.13–4.06 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.63 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 66% 17% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.77 0.64–2.89 0.35–3.19 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.92 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.