Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.812.503.32safe0.00–1.781.65–3.361.49–5.14safer0.00–2.031.42–3.591.01–5.62
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction2.676.339.00safe0.80–4.534.59–8.085.39–12.60safer0.31–5.024.13–8.544.44–13.56
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.0217.2125.23safe4.09–11.9413.65–20.7817.74–32.72safer3.00–13.0312.69–21.7415.69–34.77
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction4.9811.6716.64safe2.04–7.928.99–14.3511.02–22.27safer1.21–8.758.25–15.089.45–23.83
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.134.686.81safe0.25–4.013.02–6.333.27–10.34safer0.00–4.562.53–6.822.24–11.38
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.046.239.27safe0.83–5.264.23–8.235.06–13.48safer0.25–5.833.70–8.763.95–14.59
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.8962.12safe32.10–45.6855.34–68.91safer30.43–47.3553.67–70.58
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction369572942safe302–437506–639808–1075safer284–455488–656772–1111
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction74.7083.26safe70.67–78.7378.93–87.58safer69.38–80.0277.63–88.89
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1113.6624.77safe8.27–13.9410.72–16.6118.99–30.55safer7.51–14.709.97–17.3617.48–32.06
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.003.77safe0.61–2.930.91–3.101.52–6.03safer0.31–3.230.62–3.380.93–6.62
Yellow cards
39%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.933.85safe0.87–2.970.80–3.051.67–6.03safer0.61–3.240.51–3.351.11–6.58
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.016.23safe2.79–5.660.45–3.563.24–9.23safer2.40–6.050.03–3.992.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.81 0.00–1.78 0.00–2.03 | 2.50 1.65–3.36 1.42–3.59 | 3.32 1.49–5.14 1.01–5.62 | 16% 74% |
| Shots on target | 2.67 0.80–4.53 0.31–5.02 | 6.33 4.59–8.08 4.13–8.54 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 86% |
| Total shots | 8.02 4.09–11.94 3.00–13.03 | 17.21 13.65–20.78 12.69–21.74 | 25.23 17.74–32.72 15.69–34.77 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 4.98 2.04–7.92 1.21–8.75 | 11.67 8.99–14.35 8.25–15.08 | 16.64 11.02–22.27 9.45–23.83 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.13 0.25–4.01 0.00–4.56 | 4.68 3.02–6.33 2.53–6.82 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.04 0.83–5.26 0.25–5.83 | 6.23 4.23–8.23 3.70–8.76 | 9.27 5.06–13.48 3.95–14.59 | 81% |
| Possession % | 38.89 32.10–45.68 30.43–47.35 | 62.12 55.34–68.91 53.67–70.58 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 369 302–437 284–455 | 572 506–639 488–656 | 942 808–1075 772–1111 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.70 70.67–78.73 69.38–80.02 | 83.26 78.93–87.58 77.63–88.89 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.94 7.51–14.70 | 13.66 10.72–16.61 9.97–17.36 | 24.77 18.99–30.55 17.48–32.06 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 2.00 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.38 | 3.77 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.93 0.80–3.05 0.51–3.35 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.58 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.23 2.79–5.66 2.40–6.05 | 2.01 0.45–3.56 0.03–3.99 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 76% 13% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.