Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.352.81safe0.49–2.430.49–2.200.99–4.63safer0.24–2.680.26–2.430.51–5.11
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.389.27safe3.03–6.752.64–6.125.67–12.88safer2.54–7.242.17–6.594.71–13.83
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7512.0326.79safe10.83–18.688.47–15.6019.30–34.27safer9.74–19.777.51–16.5517.25–36.33
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.978.2917.26safe6.02–11.915.61–10.9711.64–22.88safer5.20–12.744.87–11.7110.07–24.45
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.627.86safe2.36–6.121.96–5.274.32–11.39safer1.81–6.671.47–5.763.28–12.43
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.504.7610.25safe3.28–7.712.76–6.766.04–14.47safer2.71–8.282.22–7.294.93–15.57
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.9944.16safe49.20–62.7837.38–50.95safer47.53–64.4535.71–52.62
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction499391889safe431–566324–457756–1023safer413–584307–475720–1059
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction84.6376.04safe80.60–88.6671.71–80.36safer79.31–89.9570.40–81.67
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7612.9124.67safe8.92–14.609.97–15.8618.89–30.45safer8.17–15.359.22–16.6117.39–31.96
Offsides
48%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.423.30safe0.72–3.040.33–2.511.04–5.55safer0.42–3.340.04–2.800.46–6.14
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.153.88safe0.67–2.771.02–3.281.70–6.06safer0.41–3.040.73–3.571.14–6.61
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.456.27safe1.38–4.251.90–5.013.28–9.27safer1.00–4.641.47–5.442.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 4.38 2.64–6.12 2.17–6.59 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.75 10.83–18.68 9.74–19.77 | 12.03 8.47–15.60 7.51–16.55 | 26.79 19.30–34.27 17.25–36.33 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.97 6.02–11.91 5.20–12.74 | 8.29 5.61–10.97 4.87–11.71 | 17.26 11.64–22.88 10.07–24.45 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.36–6.12 1.81–6.67 | 3.62 1.96–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.28–12.43 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.22–7.29 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.57 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 55.99 49.20–62.78 47.53–64.45 | 44.16 37.38–50.95 35.71–52.62 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 499 431–566 413–584 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.63 80.60–88.66 79.31–89.95 | 76.04 71.71–80.36 70.40–81.67 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.60 8.17–15.35 | 12.91 9.97–15.86 9.22–16.61 | 24.67 18.89–30.45 17.39–31.96 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 48% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.61 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 1.00–4.64 | 3.45 1.90–5.01 1.47–5.44 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+