Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.763.35safe1.62–3.560.00–1.611.52–5.17safer1.37–3.810.00–1.841.04–5.65
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.102.799.89safe5.23–8.961.05–4.536.28–13.49safer4.74–9.450.58–5.005.32–14.45
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.047.6226.66safe15.12–22.964.06–11.1819.17–34.15safer14.02–24.063.10–12.1417.12–36.20
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.204.8018.00safe10.26–16.142.12–7.4812.38–23.62safer9.43–16.971.38–8.2210.81–25.19
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.101.907.00safe3.22–6.980.24–3.553.46–10.53safer2.67–7.520.00–4.042.42–11.57
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.052.929.96safe4.84–9.260.92–4.925.75–14.18safer4.26–9.840.38–5.454.64–15.29
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.9736.87safe56.18–69.7630.09–43.66safer54.51–71.4328.42–45.33
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction590340930safe523–657273–406796–1064safer505–675256–424761–1099
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction82.7672.13safe78.73–86.7967.81–76.45safer77.44–88.0866.50–77.76
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1112.3725.48safe10.27–15.959.43–15.3219.70–31.26safer9.51–16.708.68–16.0718.19–32.77
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.673.27safe0.44–2.760.57–2.761.02–5.52safer0.14–3.060.29–3.050.43–6.11
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.103.38safe0.24–2.330.97–3.221.20–5.56safer0.00–2.600.67–3.520.64–6.12
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.064.156.20safe0.62–3.492.59–5.703.21–9.20safer0.23–3.882.16–6.132.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.62–3.56 1.37–3.81 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 3.35 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.10 5.23–8.96 4.74–9.45 | 2.79 1.05–4.53 0.58–5.00 | 9.89 6.28–13.49 5.32–14.45 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.04 15.12–22.96 14.02–24.06 | 7.62 4.06–11.18 3.10–12.14 | 26.66 19.17–34.15 17.12–36.20 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.20 10.26–16.14 9.43–16.97 | 4.80 2.12–7.48 1.38–8.22 | 18.00 12.38–23.62 10.81–25.19 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.10 3.22–6.98 2.67–7.52 | 1.90 0.24–3.55 0.00–4.04 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.57 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.84–9.26 4.26–9.84 | 2.92 0.92–4.92 0.38–5.45 | 9.96 5.75–14.18 4.64–15.29 | 88% |
| Possession % | 62.97 56.18–69.76 54.51–71.43 | 36.87 30.09–43.66 28.42–45.33 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 590 523–657 505–675 | 340 273–406 256–424 | 930 796–1064 761–1099 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.76 78.73–86.79 77.44–88.08 | 72.13 67.81–76.45 66.50–77.76 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.11 10.27–15.95 9.51–16.70 | 12.37 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 25.48 19.70–31.26 18.19–32.77 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.24–2.33 0.00–2.60 | 2.10 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.52 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.12 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.62–3.49 0.23–3.88 | 4.15 2.59–5.70 2.16–6.13 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+