Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
21%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.842.002.84safe0.00–1.811.15–2.851.02–4.67safer0.00–2.060.92–3.080.54–5.15
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.125.668.79safe1.26–4.983.92–7.415.18–12.39safer0.77–5.473.46–7.874.23–13.35
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1616.0125.17safe5.23–13.0812.44–19.5717.68–32.65safer4.14–14.1711.49–20.5315.63–34.70
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.449.8015.24safe2.50–8.397.12–12.489.62–20.87safer1.67–9.226.38–13.228.05–22.43
Blocked shots
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.635.83safe0.32–4.081.98–5.282.30–9.37safer0.00–4.631.48–5.771.26–10.40
Corners
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.415.879.29safe1.20–5.633.87–7.875.07–13.50safer0.63–6.203.34–8.413.97–14.61
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction37.8562.06safe31.06–44.6455.27–68.84safer29.39–46.3153.60–70.51
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction373610984safe306–441544–677850–1117safer288–459526–694814–1153
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction82.4290.52safe78.39–86.4586.19–94.84safer77.10–87.7484.89–96.15
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction12.209.3721.57safe9.36–15.046.43–12.3215.79–27.35safer8.61–15.795.68–13.0614.28–28.86
Offsides
66%
17%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.711.344.04safe1.55–3.870.24–2.431.79–6.30safer1.25–4.170.00–2.721.20–6.89
Yellow cards
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.723.86safe1.09–3.190.59–2.841.68–6.04safer0.83–3.460.30–3.141.12–6.60
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.080.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.270.00–0.57safer0.00–0.450.00–0.400.00–0.86
GK saves
64%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.225.85safe2.19–5.060.67–3.782.86–8.84safer1.80–5.450.24–4.202.05–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.84 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.06 | 2.00 1.15–2.85 0.92–3.08 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 15% 21% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.26–4.98 0.77–5.47 | 5.66 3.92–7.41 3.46–7.87 | 8.79 5.18–12.39 4.23–13.35 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 9.16 5.23–13.08 4.14–14.17 | 16.01 12.44–19.57 11.49–20.53 | 25.17 17.68–32.65 15.63–34.70 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.44 2.50–8.39 1.67–9.22 | 9.80 7.12–12.48 6.38–13.22 | 15.24 9.62–20.87 8.05–22.43 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.20 0.32–4.08 0.00–4.63 | 3.63 1.98–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 5.83 2.30–9.37 1.26–10.40 | 21% 14% 65% |
| Corners | 3.41 1.20–5.63 0.63–6.20 | 5.87 3.87–7.87 3.34–8.41 | 9.29 5.07–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 16% 74% |
| Possession % | 37.85 31.06–44.64 29.39–46.31 | 62.06 55.27–68.84 53.60–70.51 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 373 306–441 288–459 | 610 544–677 526–694 | 984 850–1117 814–1153 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.42 78.39–86.45 77.10–87.74 | 90.52 86.19–94.84 84.89–96.15 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 12.20 9.36–15.04 8.61–15.79 | 9.37 6.43–12.32 5.68–13.06 | 21.57 15.79–27.35 14.28–28.86 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.17 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 4.04 1.79–6.30 1.20–6.89 | 66% 17% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 1.72 0.59–2.84 0.30–3.14 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.12–6.60 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.63 2.19–5.06 1.80–5.45 | 2.22 0.67–3.78 0.24–4.20 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.65 | 64% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.