Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.402.84safe0.47–2.410.55–2.261.02–4.67safer0.22–2.660.32–2.480.54–5.15
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.439.49safe3.20–6.922.68–6.175.88–13.09safer2.71–7.412.22–6.634.93–14.05
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2012.1526.35safe10.28–18.138.59–15.7218.87–33.84safer9.18–19.227.63–16.6816.82–35.89
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.118.4617.57safe6.17–12.065.78–11.1411.95–23.20safer5.34–12.895.04–11.8810.38–24.76
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.767.10safe2.45–6.221.11–4.413.56–10.63safer1.91–6.760.62–4.912.53–11.67
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.269.54safe3.07–7.492.26–6.265.33–13.75safer2.49–8.071.73–6.794.22–14.86
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction59.4241.79safe52.63–66.2135.01–48.58safer50.96–67.8833.34–50.25
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction537381918safe470–604315–447784–1052safer451–622297–465748–1087
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction81.1873.88safe77.15–85.2169.55–78.20safer75.86–86.5068.24–79.51
Fouls
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2313.7824.01safe7.39–13.0710.83–16.7218.23–29.79safer6.64–13.8210.09–17.4716.72–31.30
Offsides
13%
13%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.533.454.98safe0.37–2.692.35–4.542.72–7.23safer0.07–2.992.07–4.832.13–7.82
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.584.48safe0.85–2.951.45–3.712.30–6.65safer0.58–3.211.16–4.001.74–7.21
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.406.50safe1.66–4.531.85–4.963.50–9.49safer1.27–4.921.42–5.382.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.48 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.92 2.71–7.41 | 4.43 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.93–14.05 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.28–18.13 9.18–19.22 | 12.15 8.59–15.72 7.63–16.68 | 26.35 18.87–33.84 16.82–35.89 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.17–12.06 5.34–12.89 | 8.46 5.78–11.14 5.04–11.88 | 17.57 11.95–23.20 10.38–24.76 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.76 1.11–4.41 0.62–4.91 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.49 2.49–8.07 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.79 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 59.42 52.63–66.21 50.96–67.88 | 41.79 35.01–48.58 33.34–50.25 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 537 470–604 451–622 | 381 315–447 297–465 | 918 784–1052 748–1087 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.18 77.15–85.21 75.86–86.50 | 73.88 69.55–78.20 68.24–79.51 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.07 6.64–13.82 | 13.78 10.83–16.72 10.09–17.47 | 24.01 18.23–29.79 16.72–31.30 | 20% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 3.45 2.35–4.54 2.07–4.83 | 4.98 2.72–7.23 2.13–7.82 | 13% 13% 74% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 4.48 2.30–6.65 1.74–7.21 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.50 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.