Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.182.59safe0.43–2.370.33–2.040.76–4.41safer0.18–2.620.10–2.270.28–4.89
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.924.058.97safe3.06–6.782.30–5.795.36–12.57safer2.57–7.271.84–6.264.41–13.53
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1012.8427.94safe11.17–19.029.28–16.4020.45–35.43safer10.08–20.128.32–17.3618.40–37.48
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.518.3517.86safe6.56–12.455.67–11.0312.24–23.48safer5.73–13.284.93–11.7710.67–25.05
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.773.278.05safe2.89–6.651.62–4.934.51–11.58safer2.35–7.201.13–5.423.47–12.62
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.4510.44safe3.78–8.202.45–6.456.22–14.65safer3.20–8.781.91–6.985.11–15.76
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.5949.41safe43.80–57.3842.62–56.19safer42.13–59.0540.95–57.87
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction386387773safe319–453320–453639–907safer301–472303–471604–942
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction77.5777.98safe73.54–81.5973.66–82.31safer72.24–82.8972.35–83.61
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9712.6725.63safe10.13–15.809.72–15.6119.85–31.42safer9.37–16.568.97–16.3618.35–32.92
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.553.39safe0.68–3.000.46–2.651.14–5.65safer0.38–3.300.17–2.930.55–6.23
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.123.95safe0.78–2.880.99–3.251.77–6.13safer0.51–3.140.70–3.541.22–6.69
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.366.12safe1.32–4.191.80–4.923.13–9.11safer0.93–4.581.38–5.342.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.92 3.06–6.78 2.57–7.27 | 4.05 2.30–5.79 1.84–6.26 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.17–19.02 10.08–20.12 | 12.84 9.28–16.40 8.32–17.36 | 27.94 20.45–35.43 18.40–37.48 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.51 6.56–12.45 5.73–13.28 | 8.35 5.67–11.03 4.93–11.77 | 17.86 12.24–23.48 10.67–25.05 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.77 2.89–6.65 2.35–7.20 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 8.05 4.51–11.58 3.47–12.62 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.91–6.98 | 10.44 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.76 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.59 43.80–57.38 42.13–59.05 | 49.41 42.62–56.19 40.95–57.87 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 386 319–453 301–472 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 773 639–907 604–942 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.57 73.54–81.59 72.24–82.89 | 77.98 73.66–82.31 72.35–83.61 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.13–15.80 9.37–16.56 | 12.67 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 25.63 19.85–31.42 18.35–32.92 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 3.39 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.23 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.95 1.77–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.