Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.500.853.35safe1.53–3.470.00–1.711.53–5.18safer1.28–3.720.00–1.931.05–5.66
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.243.1810.42safe5.38–9.101.44–4.926.82–14.03safer4.89–9.590.97–5.395.86–14.98
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.598.5429.13safe16.66–24.514.98–12.1121.64–36.62safer15.57–25.604.02–13.0719.59–38.67
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.576.1119.67safe10.63–16.513.42–8.7914.05–25.30safer9.80–17.342.69–9.5212.48–26.86
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.752.468.22safe3.87–7.640.81–4.124.68–11.75safer3.33–8.180.32–4.613.65–12.79
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.363.2410.60safe5.15–9.571.24–5.246.39–14.82safer4.57–10.150.71–5.775.28–15.92
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.6733.01safe60.88–74.4626.22–39.79safer59.21–76.1324.55–41.46
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction655329984safe587–722263–396850–1117safer569–740245–413814–1153
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction89.7174.66safe85.68–93.7470.33–78.98safer84.39–95.0369.02–80.29
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8310.1220.95safe7.99–13.667.18–13.0715.17–26.73safer7.23–14.426.43–13.8213.66–28.24
Offsides
41%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.984.01safe0.87–3.190.89–3.071.76–6.26safer0.57–3.490.60–3.361.17–6.85
Yellow cards
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.713.02safe0.26–2.360.58–2.840.84–5.20safer0.00–2.620.29–3.130.28–5.76
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.104.756.85safe0.66–3.533.20–6.313.86–9.84safer0.27–3.922.77–6.733.04–10.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.50 1.53–3.47 1.28–3.72 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.93 | 3.35 1.53–5.18 1.05–5.66 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.24 5.38–9.10 4.89–9.59 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 10.42 6.82–14.03 5.86–14.98 | 87% |
| Total shots | 20.59 16.66–24.51 15.57–25.60 | 8.54 4.98–12.11 4.02–13.07 | 29.13 21.64–36.62 19.59–38.67 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.57 10.63–16.51 9.80–17.34 | 6.11 3.42–8.79 2.69–9.52 | 19.67 14.05–25.30 12.48–26.86 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.75 3.87–7.64 3.33–8.18 | 2.46 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 8.22 4.68–11.75 3.65–12.79 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.36 5.15–9.57 4.57–10.15 | 3.24 1.24–5.24 0.71–5.77 | 10.60 6.39–14.82 5.28–15.92 | 87% |
| Possession % | 67.67 60.88–74.46 59.21–76.13 | 33.01 26.22–39.79 24.55–41.46 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 655 587–722 569–740 | 329 263–396 245–413 | 984 850–1117 814–1153 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.71 85.68–93.74 84.39–95.03 | 74.66 70.33–78.98 69.02–80.29 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.83 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 10.12 7.18–13.07 6.43–13.82 | 20.95 15.17–26.73 13.66–28.24 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 4.01 1.76–6.26 1.17–6.85 | 41% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.02 0.84–5.20 0.28–5.76 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 4.75 3.20–6.31 2.77–6.73 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.04–10.65 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+