Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.842.263.10safe0.00–1.811.41–3.121.28–4.92safer0.00–2.061.18–3.340.80–5.40
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.436.059.48safe1.57–5.294.31–7.795.88–13.09safer1.08–5.783.84–8.264.92–14.04
Total shots
27%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3715.1227.48safe8.44–16.2911.55–18.6820.00–34.97safer7.35–17.3910.59–19.6417.95–37.02
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.639.9617.59safe4.69–10.577.28–12.6411.96–23.21safer3.86–11.406.54–13.3710.40–24.78
Blocked shots
37%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.576.80safe1.34–5.111.92–5.233.26–10.33safer0.80–5.651.43–5.722.23–11.37
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.395.9910.38safe2.17–6.603.99–7.996.16–14.59safer1.60–7.173.46–8.525.06–15.70
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.5060.87safe32.71–46.2954.08–67.65safer31.04–47.9652.41–69.32
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction370565935safe303–437499–631801–1069safer285–456481–649766–1105
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction78.2286.79safe74.19–82.2582.47–91.11safer72.89–83.5481.16–92.42
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5410.4122.95safe9.70–15.387.47–13.3617.17–28.74safer8.95–16.136.72–14.1115.67–30.24
Offsides
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.494.38safe0.73–3.051.40–3.582.13–6.63safer0.43–3.351.11–3.871.54–7.22
Yellow cards
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.413.32safe0.87–2.970.28–2.531.15–5.50safer0.60–3.230.00–2.830.59–6.06
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.060.19safe0.00–0.290.00–0.250.00–0.54safer0.00–0.440.00–0.380.00–0.82
GK saves
60%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.586.29safe2.27–5.141.03–4.143.29–9.28safer1.88–5.530.60–4.562.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.84 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.06 | 2.26 1.41–3.12 1.18–3.34 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 18% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.43 1.57–5.29 1.08–5.78 | 6.05 4.31–7.79 3.84–8.26 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 12.37 8.44–16.29 7.35–17.39 | 15.12 11.55–18.68 10.59–19.64 | 27.48 20.00–34.97 17.95–37.02 | 27% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.63 4.69–10.57 3.86–11.40 | 9.96 7.28–12.64 6.54–13.37 | 17.59 11.96–23.21 10.40–24.78 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.34–5.11 0.80–5.65 | 3.57 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 6.80 3.26–10.33 2.23–11.37 | 37% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.17–6.60 1.60–7.17 | 5.99 3.99–7.99 3.46–8.52 | 10.38 6.16–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 39.50 32.71–46.29 31.04–47.96 | 60.87 54.08–67.65 52.41–69.32 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 370 303–437 285–456 | 565 499–631 481–649 | 935 801–1069 766–1105 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.22 74.19–82.25 72.89–83.54 | 86.79 82.47–91.11 81.16–92.42 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.54 9.70–15.38 8.95–16.13 | 10.41 7.47–13.36 6.72–14.11 | 22.95 17.17–28.74 15.67–30.24 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 2.49 1.40–3.58 1.11–3.87 | 4.38 2.13–6.63 1.54–7.22 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 1.41 0.28–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.27–5.14 1.88–5.53 | 2.58 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 6.29 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 60% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.