Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.923.19safe0.30–2.231.07–2.781.37–5.01safer0.05–2.490.84–3.010.89–5.49
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.279.71safe2.58–6.303.53–7.026.11–13.32safer2.09–6.793.07–7.485.15–14.27
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9013.8028.70safe10.98–18.8210.24–17.3621.21–36.19safer9.88–19.929.28–18.3219.16–38.24
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.829.7018.52safe5.87–11.767.02–12.3912.90–24.14safer5.04–12.596.29–13.1211.33–25.71
Blocked shots
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.168.36safe2.31–6.082.51–5.824.82–11.89safer1.77–6.622.02–6.313.79–12.93
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.6410.57safe2.71–7.143.64–7.646.35–14.78safer2.14–7.713.11–8.175.25–15.89
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.0452.20safe41.25–54.8345.41–58.98safer39.58–56.5043.74–60.66
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction443498941safe376–510432–565807–1075safer357–528414–582772–1110
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction83.0480.83safe79.01–87.0776.50–85.15safer77.72–88.3675.19–86.46
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9812.4922.47safe7.15–12.829.55–15.4416.69–28.26safer6.39–13.588.80–16.1915.19–29.76
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.392.83safe0.29–2.610.29–2.480.58–5.09safer0.00–2.910.00–2.770.00–5.68
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.883.62safe0.69–2.790.75–3.011.44–5.80safer0.43–3.060.46–3.300.89–6.36
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.126.48safe1.92–4.801.56–4.673.49–9.47safer1.54–5.181.14–5.102.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.49 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.01 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.30 2.09–6.79 | 5.27 3.53–7.02 3.07–7.48 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.98–18.82 9.88–19.92 | 13.80 10.24–17.36 9.28–18.32 | 28.70 21.21–36.19 19.16–38.24 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.82 5.87–11.76 5.04–12.59 | 9.70 7.02–12.39 6.29–13.12 | 18.52 12.90–24.14 11.33–25.71 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 4.16 2.51–5.82 2.02–6.31 | 8.36 4.82–11.89 3.79–12.93 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.71–7.14 2.14–7.71 | 5.64 3.64–7.64 3.11–8.17 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 48.04 41.25–54.83 39.58–56.50 | 52.20 45.41–58.98 43.74–60.66 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 357–528 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 941 807–1075 772–1110 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.04 79.01–87.07 77.72–88.36 | 80.83 76.50–85.15 75.19–86.46 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 9.98 7.15–12.82 6.39–13.58 | 12.49 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 22.47 16.69–28.26 15.19–29.76 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 2.83 0.58–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.92–4.80 1.54–5.18 | 3.12 1.56–4.67 1.14–5.10 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.