Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.552.68safe0.16–2.100.69–2.400.86–4.50safer0.00–2.350.47–2.630.38–4.98
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.014.668.68safe2.15–5.872.92–6.415.07–12.28safer1.66–6.362.45–6.874.11–13.24
Total shots
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8613.6625.53safe7.94–15.7910.10–17.2218.04–33.01safer6.85–16.889.14–18.1815.99–35.06
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction6.899.1716.06safe3.95–9.836.49–11.8510.44–21.68safer3.12–10.665.75–12.598.87–23.25
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.687.10safe1.54–5.312.03–5.333.57–10.64safer1.00–5.851.53–5.832.53–11.67
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.719.38safe2.45–6.882.71–6.715.17–13.59safer1.88–7.462.18–7.254.06–14.70
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.8550.36safe43.06–56.6443.58–57.15safer41.39–58.3141.91–58.82
Passes
45%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction450463914safe383–517397–530780–1047safer365–536379–547744–1083
Pass accuracy %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction82.6385.42safe78.60–86.6681.10–89.75safer77.31–87.9579.79–91.06
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0013.3926.39safe10.16–15.8410.44–16.3320.61–32.17safer9.41–16.609.70–17.0819.10–33.68
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.763.24safe0.31–2.640.67–2.860.99–5.49safer0.01–2.940.38–3.150.40–6.08
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.934.11safe1.13–3.230.80–3.061.93–6.28safer0.86–3.490.51–3.351.37–6.84
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
42%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.955.90safe1.51–4.391.40–4.512.91–8.90safer1.13–4.770.97–4.942.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.47–2.63 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.87 1.66–6.36 | 4.66 2.92–6.41 2.45–6.87 | 8.68 5.07–12.28 4.11–13.24 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 11.86 7.94–15.79 6.85–16.88 | 13.66 10.10–17.22 9.14–18.18 | 25.53 18.04–33.01 15.99–35.06 | 32% 60% |
| Shots in box | 6.89 3.95–9.83 3.12–10.66 | 9.17 6.49–11.85 5.75–12.59 | 16.06 10.44–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 3.68 2.03–5.33 1.53–5.83 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.45–6.88 1.88–7.46 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.25 | 9.38 5.17–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.85 43.06–56.64 41.39–58.31 | 50.36 43.58–57.15 41.91–58.82 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 365–536 | 463 397–530 379–547 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 45% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.63 78.60–86.66 77.31–87.95 | 85.42 81.10–89.75 79.79–91.06 | — | 34% 62% |
| Fouls | 13.00 10.16–15.84 9.41–16.60 | 13.39 10.44–16.33 9.70–17.08 | 26.39 20.61–32.17 19.10–33.68 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.64 0.01–2.94 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.24 0.99–5.49 0.40–6.08 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.49 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.11 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.39 1.13–4.77 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.94 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 42% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.