Serie A·Regular Season - 13·
Serie A·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.402.64safe0.27–2.200.55–2.260.82–4.46safer0.02–2.460.32–2.490.34–4.94
Shots on target
33%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.894.638.52safe2.02–5.752.89–6.374.91–12.12safer1.53–6.242.42–6.843.96–13.08
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1813.3425.52safe8.26–16.109.78–16.9018.03–33.01safer7.16–17.208.82–17.8615.98–35.06
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.698.4816.17safe4.75–10.635.80–11.1610.55–21.79safer3.92–11.465.06–11.908.98–23.36
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.396.71safe1.43–5.191.74–5.053.17–10.24safer0.89–5.741.25–5.542.14–11.28
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.854.649.49safe2.64–7.062.64–6.645.28–13.70safer2.06–7.642.11–7.174.17–14.81
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction49.8649.80safe43.07–56.6543.02–56.59safer41.40–58.3241.35–58.26
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction425425850safe358–493358–491717–984safer340–511341–509681–1020
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction80.0576.70safe76.02–84.0872.37–81.02safer74.73–85.3771.07–82.33
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7212.0924.82safe9.89–15.569.15–15.0419.03–30.60safer9.13–16.328.40–15.7817.53–32.10
Offsides
27%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.893.25safe0.19–2.510.80–2.991.00–5.50safer0.00–2.820.51–3.280.41–6.09
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.923.77safe0.80–2.900.79–3.051.59–5.95safer0.53–3.160.50–3.341.03–6.50
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.846.03safe1.74–4.621.29–4.403.03–9.02safer1.36–5.000.86–4.832.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.46 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.02–5.75 1.53–6.24 | 4.63 2.89–6.37 2.42–6.84 | 8.52 4.91–12.12 3.96–13.08 | 33% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.18 8.26–16.10 7.16–17.20 | 13.34 9.78–16.90 8.82–17.86 | 25.52 18.03–33.01 15.98–35.06 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.69 4.75–10.63 3.92–11.46 | 8.48 5.80–11.16 5.06–11.90 | 16.17 10.55–21.79 8.98–23.36 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.89–5.74 | 3.39 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 6.71 3.17–10.24 2.14–11.28 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.64–7.06 2.06–7.64 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.17 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.86 43.07–56.65 41.40–58.32 | 49.80 43.02–56.59 41.35–58.26 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 425 358–493 340–511 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.05 76.02–84.08 74.73–85.37 | 76.70 72.37–81.02 71.07–82.33 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.89–15.56 9.13–16.32 | 12.09 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.78 | 24.82 19.03–30.60 17.53–32.10 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.82 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 27% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.74–4.62 1.36–5.00 | 2.84 1.29–4.40 0.86–4.83 | 6.03 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.