Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.722.85safe1.16–3.100.00–1.571.03–4.67safer0.91–3.350.00–1.800.55–5.15
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.462.559.01safe4.59–8.320.81–4.295.40–12.61safer4.10–8.810.34–4.764.44–13.57
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.327.8126.14safe14.40–22.254.25–11.3818.65–33.62safer13.30–23.343.29–12.3416.60–35.67
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.664.9216.58safe8.71–14.602.24–7.6010.95–22.20safer7.89–15.431.50–8.349.39–23.77
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.761.766.52safe2.88–6.640.11–3.422.99–10.06safer2.33–7.180.00–3.911.95–11.09
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.942.929.86safe4.73–9.150.92–4.925.64–14.07safer4.15–9.730.38–5.454.53–15.18
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.1536.38safe57.36–70.9429.59–43.16safer55.69–72.6127.92–44.83
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction622353975safe555–690287–419842–1109safer537–708269–437806–1145
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction90.0681.60safe86.03–94.0877.27–85.92safer84.73–95.3875.97–87.23
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9911.6522.64safe8.15–13.828.71–14.6016.86–28.42safer7.39–14.587.96–15.3515.35–29.93
Offsides
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.253.98safe0.56–2.881.16–3.351.72–6.23safer0.26–3.180.87–3.641.13–6.82
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.113.40safe0.24–2.340.98–3.241.22–5.58safer0.00–2.610.69–3.530.67–6.14
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.864.115.97safe0.42–3.292.56–5.672.98–8.96safer0.03–3.682.13–6.092.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.72 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.80 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 70% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.46 4.59–8.32 4.10–8.81 | 2.55 0.81–4.29 0.34–4.76 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.57 | 88% |
| Total shots | 18.32 14.40–22.25 13.30–23.34 | 7.81 4.25–11.38 3.29–12.34 | 26.14 18.65–33.62 16.60–35.67 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 11.66 8.71–14.60 7.89–15.43 | 4.92 2.24–7.60 1.50–8.34 | 16.58 10.95–22.20 9.39–23.77 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.88–6.64 2.33–7.18 | 1.76 0.11–3.42 0.00–3.91 | 6.52 2.99–10.06 1.95–11.09 | 84% |
| Corners | 6.94 4.73–9.15 4.15–9.73 | 2.92 0.92–4.92 0.38–5.45 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.18 | 87% |
| Possession % | 64.15 57.36–70.94 55.69–72.61 | 36.38 29.59–43.16 27.92–44.83 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 622 555–690 537–708 | 353 287–419 269–437 | 975 842–1109 806–1145 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.06 86.03–94.08 84.73–95.38 | 81.60 77.27–85.92 75.97–87.23 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 11.65 8.71–14.60 7.96–15.35 | 22.64 16.86–28.42 15.35–29.93 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 2.25 1.16–3.35 0.87–3.64 | 3.98 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.42–3.29 0.03–3.68 | 4.11 2.56–5.67 2.13–6.09 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.