Serie A·Regular Season - 14·
Serie A·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
25%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.630.832.46safe0.66–2.600.00–1.690.64–4.29safer0.41–2.850.00–1.920.16–4.77
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.058.21safe3.30–7.031.30–4.794.60–11.81safer2.81–7.520.84–5.253.65–12.77
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.299.2826.57safe13.36–21.215.72–12.8419.08–34.06safer12.27–22.314.76–13.8017.03–36.11
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.715.7116.43safe7.77–13.663.03–8.3910.80–22.05safer6.94–14.482.29–9.139.24–23.62
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.737.34safe2.73–6.491.08–4.383.80–10.87safer2.18–7.040.58–4.872.77–11.91
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.339.27safe3.73–8.161.33–5.335.06–13.49safer3.16–8.730.79–5.863.95–14.59
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction51.9147.99safe45.12–58.7041.20–54.77safer43.45–60.3739.53–56.44
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction475452927safe408–542385–518793–1060safer390–560368–536757–1096
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction79.0679.75safe75.03–83.0975.42–84.07safer73.74–84.3874.11–85.38
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0412.1824.22safe9.21–14.889.23–15.1218.44–30.00safer8.45–15.648.48–15.8716.93–31.51
Offsides
36%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.512.93safe0.26–2.580.42–2.600.68–5.18safer0.00–2.880.13–2.890.09–5.77
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.013.52safe0.46–2.560.88–3.141.34–5.69safer0.19–2.820.59–3.430.78–6.25
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.103.595.69safe0.66–3.542.03–5.152.70–8.68safer0.28–3.921.61–5.571.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 56% 25% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.30–7.03 2.81–7.52 | 3.05 1.30–4.79 0.84–5.25 | 8.21 4.60–11.81 3.65–12.77 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.29 13.36–21.21 12.27–22.31 | 9.28 5.72–12.84 4.76–13.80 | 26.57 19.08–34.06 17.03–36.11 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.71 7.77–13.66 6.94–14.48 | 5.71 3.03–8.39 2.29–9.13 | 16.43 10.80–22.05 9.24–23.62 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.49 2.18–7.04 | 2.73 1.08–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 5.95 3.73–8.16 3.16–8.73 | 3.33 1.33–5.33 0.79–5.86 | 9.27 5.06–13.49 3.95–14.59 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 51.91 45.12–58.70 43.45–60.37 | 47.99 41.20–54.77 39.53–56.44 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 475 408–542 390–560 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.06 75.03–83.09 73.74–84.38 | 79.75 75.42–84.07 74.11–85.38 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.21–14.88 8.45–15.64 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.87 | 24.22 18.44–30.00 16.93–31.51 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 2.93 0.68–5.18 0.09–5.77 | 36% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.52 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.54 0.28–3.92 | 3.59 2.03–5.15 1.61–5.57 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.