Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction0.932.403.33safe0.00–1.901.54–3.251.51–5.15safer0.00–2.151.31–3.481.03–5.63
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.687.2810.96safe1.82–5.545.54–9.027.35–14.56safer1.33–6.035.07–9.496.40–15.52
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3719.5230.89safe7.45–15.3015.96–23.0823.41–38.38safer6.36–16.3915.00–24.0421.35–40.43
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5613.3120.88safe4.62–10.5110.63–15.9915.25–26.50safer3.79–11.349.89–16.7313.69–28.07
Blocked shots
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.545.118.65safe1.66–5.423.45–6.765.11–12.19safer1.12–5.972.96–7.254.08–13.22
Corners
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.186.3210.51safe1.97–6.404.32–8.326.29–14.72safer1.40–6.973.79–8.865.19–15.83
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.8865.78safe28.09–41.6759.00–72.57safer26.42–43.3457.33–74.24
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction307584891safe240–374518–651758–1025safer222–392500–668722–1061
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction74.3787.21safe70.34–78.4082.89–91.54safer69.04–79.6981.58–92.84
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9110.1221.03safe8.07–13.757.17–13.0615.25–26.81safer7.32–14.506.42–13.8113.74–28.31
Offsides
51%
20%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.703.99safe1.13–3.450.61–2.791.74–6.25safer0.83–3.760.32–3.081.15–6.84
Yellow cards
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.293.07safe0.72–2.820.17–2.420.89–5.25safer0.46–3.090.00–2.710.33–5.80
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.712.537.24safe3.27–6.140.98–4.094.25–10.23safer2.88–6.530.55–4.513.44–11.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.15 | 2.40 1.54–3.25 1.31–3.48 | 3.33 1.51–5.15 1.03–5.63 | 17% 70% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.82–5.54 1.33–6.03 | 7.28 5.54–9.02 5.07–9.49 | 10.96 7.35–14.56 6.40–15.52 | 83% |
| Total shots | 11.37 7.45–15.30 6.36–16.39 | 19.52 15.96–23.08 15.00–24.04 | 30.89 23.41–38.38 21.35–40.43 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.62–10.51 3.79–11.34 | 13.31 10.63–15.99 9.89–16.73 | 20.88 15.25–26.50 13.69–28.07 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.12–5.97 | 5.11 3.45–6.76 2.96–7.25 | 8.65 5.11–12.19 4.08–13.22 | 24% 64% |
| Corners | 4.18 1.97–6.40 1.40–6.97 | 6.32 4.32–8.32 3.79–8.86 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 21% 69% |
| Possession % | 34.88 28.09–41.67 26.42–43.34 | 65.78 59.00–72.57 57.33–74.24 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 307 240–374 222–392 | 584 518–651 500–668 | 891 758–1025 722–1061 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.37 70.34–78.40 69.04–79.69 | 87.21 82.89–91.54 81.58–92.84 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.07–13.75 7.32–14.50 | 10.12 7.17–13.06 6.42–13.81 | 21.03 15.25–26.81 13.74–28.31 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.76 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.29 0.17–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.07 0.89–5.25 0.33–5.80 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.71 3.27–6.14 2.88–6.53 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 7.24 4.25–10.23 3.44–11.05 | 73% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.