Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.122.46safe0.38–2.310.26–1.970.64–4.29safer0.13–2.570.03–2.200.16–4.76
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.828.30safe2.62–6.352.07–5.564.69–11.90safer2.13–6.841.61–6.023.74–12.86
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1611.2124.37safe9.24–17.097.65–14.7816.89–31.86safer8.15–18.186.69–15.7414.84–33.91
Shots in box
66%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.136.9416.07safe6.19–12.074.26–9.6210.45–21.69safer5.36–12.903.52–10.368.88–23.26
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.457.31safe1.98–5.741.80–5.103.77–10.84safer1.43–6.281.30–5.592.74–11.88
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.499.78safe3.08–7.512.49–6.495.57–13.99safer2.51–8.081.95–7.024.46–15.10
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction44.8154.64safe38.02–51.6047.85–61.42safer36.35–53.2746.18–63.10
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction393470864safe326–461404–537730–997safer308–479386–554694–1033
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction75.3482.09safe71.31–79.3677.77–86.42safer70.01–80.6676.46–87.73
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7112.5425.26safe9.87–15.559.60–15.4919.47–31.04safer9.12–16.318.85–16.2417.97–32.54
Offsides
58%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.503.92safe1.27–3.590.40–2.591.67–6.18safer0.97–3.890.12–2.881.08–6.77
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.094.00safe0.86–2.960.96–3.221.82–6.18safer0.60–3.230.67–3.511.27–6.74
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.045.76safe1.29–4.161.48–4.602.77–8.75safer0.90–4.551.06–5.021.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.57 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.76 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 3.82 2.07–5.56 1.61–6.02 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.24–17.09 8.15–18.18 | 11.21 7.65–14.78 6.69–15.74 | 24.37 16.89–31.86 14.84–33.91 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.19–12.07 5.36–12.90 | 6.94 4.26–9.62 3.52–10.36 | 16.07 10.45–21.69 8.88–23.26 | 66% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.45 1.80–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 7.31 3.77–10.84 2.74–11.88 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.08 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.95–7.02 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 44.81 38.02–51.60 36.35–53.27 | 54.64 47.85–61.42 46.18–63.10 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 393 326–461 308–479 | 470 404–537 386–554 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.34 71.31–79.36 70.01–80.66 | 82.09 77.77–86.42 76.46–87.73 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.12–16.31 | 12.54 9.60–15.49 8.85–16.24 | 25.26 19.47–31.04 17.97–32.54 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.43 1.27–3.59 0.97–3.89 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.92 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.77 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.96–9.57 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.