Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.150.802.95safe1.19–3.120.00–1.651.13–4.77safer0.93–3.370.00–1.880.65–5.25
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.582.729.30safe4.72–8.440.98–4.465.70–12.91safer4.23–8.930.51–4.934.74–13.86
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction17.258.0525.30safe13.32–21.174.49–11.6217.82–32.79safer12.23–22.263.53–12.5815.76–34.84
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction11.914.8416.75safe8.97–14.852.16–7.5211.12–22.37safer8.14–15.681.42–8.259.56–23.94
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.802.337.14safe2.92–6.690.68–3.993.60–10.67safer2.38–7.230.19–4.482.57–11.71
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.882.999.87safe4.67–9.090.99–4.995.66–14.09safer4.09–9.670.46–5.534.55–15.19
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.8239.83safe53.03–66.6133.04–46.61safer51.36–68.2831.37–48.28
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction541377919safe474–609311–444785–1052safer456–627293–461749–1088
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction81.1674.80safe77.13–85.1970.48–79.13safer75.84–86.4869.17–80.44
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6412.3323.97safe8.80–14.489.39–15.2818.19–29.75safer8.05–15.238.64–16.0216.68–31.26
Offsides
66%
17%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.551.223.77safe1.39–3.710.12–2.311.52–6.02safer1.09–4.020.00–2.600.93–6.61
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.123.41safe0.25–2.350.99–3.241.23–5.59safer0.00–2.610.70–3.540.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.924.236.15safe0.48–3.352.68–5.793.16–9.14safer0.09–3.742.25–6.212.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.15 1.19–3.12 0.93–3.37 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.58 4.72–8.44 4.23–8.93 | 2.72 0.98–4.46 0.51–4.93 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.86 | 87% |
| Total shots | 17.25 13.32–21.17 12.23–22.26 | 8.05 4.49–11.62 3.53–12.58 | 25.30 17.82–32.79 15.76–34.84 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.91 8.97–14.85 8.14–15.68 | 4.84 2.16–7.52 1.42–8.25 | 16.75 11.12–22.37 9.56–23.94 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.69 2.38–7.23 | 2.33 0.68–3.99 0.19–4.48 | 7.14 3.60–10.67 2.57–11.71 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.88 4.67–9.09 4.09–9.67 | 2.99 0.99–4.99 0.46–5.53 | 9.87 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.19 | 86% |
| Possession % | 59.82 53.03–66.61 51.36–68.28 | 39.83 33.04–46.61 31.37–48.28 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 541 474–609 456–627 | 377 311–444 293–461 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.16 77.13–85.19 75.84–86.48 | 74.80 70.48–79.13 69.17–80.44 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.64 8.80–14.48 8.05–15.23 | 12.33 9.39–15.28 8.64–16.02 | 23.97 18.19–29.75 16.68–31.26 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.55 1.39–3.71 1.09–4.02 | 1.22 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 3.77 1.52–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 66% 17% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.35 0.00–2.61 | 2.12 0.99–3.24 0.70–3.54 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.92 0.48–3.35 0.09–3.74 | 4.23 2.68–5.79 2.25–6.21 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.