Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.492.69safe0.24–2.170.63–2.340.87–4.51safer0.00–2.420.40–2.570.39–4.99
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.769.26safe2.64–6.363.02–6.505.66–12.87safer2.15–6.852.55–6.974.70–13.82
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3012.9728.27safe11.37–19.229.41–16.5420.78–35.76safer10.28–20.318.45–17.4918.73–37.81
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.617.8416.45safe5.66–11.555.16–10.5210.82–22.07safer4.83–12.384.42–11.269.26–23.64
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.833.407.23safe1.95–5.711.75–5.053.69–10.76safer1.40–6.251.25–5.542.66–11.80
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.8910.18safe3.07–7.502.89–6.895.97–14.39safer2.50–8.082.36–7.434.86–15.50
Possession %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction46.4353.12safe39.64–53.2246.33–59.90safer37.97–54.8944.66–61.58
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction456518974safe388–523452–584840–1107safer370–541434–602804–1143
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction85.2086.89safe81.17–89.2382.57–91.22safer79.87–90.5281.26–92.52
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.1824.57safe9.56–15.239.23–15.1218.79–30.35safer8.80–15.998.48–15.8717.28–31.85
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.333.56safe1.07–3.390.23–2.421.30–5.81safer0.77–3.690.00–2.710.71–6.40
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.863.56safe0.65–2.750.73–2.991.38–5.74safer0.39–3.020.44–3.280.82–6.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.196.46safe1.84–4.711.63–4.743.47–9.45safer1.45–5.101.21–5.172.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.24–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.49 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 31% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 4.76 3.02–6.50 2.55–6.97 | 9.26 5.66–12.87 4.70–13.82 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.37–19.22 10.28–20.31 | 12.97 9.41–16.54 8.45–17.49 | 28.27 20.78–35.76 18.73–37.81 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.61 5.66–11.55 4.83–12.38 | 7.84 5.16–10.52 4.42–11.26 | 16.45 10.82–22.07 9.26–23.64 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 3.40 1.75–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.08 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.43 | 10.18 5.97–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 46.43 39.64–53.22 37.97–54.89 | 53.12 46.33–59.90 44.66–61.58 | — | 32% 63% |
| Passes | 456 388–523 370–541 | 518 452–584 434–602 | 974 840–1107 804–1143 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.20 81.17–89.23 79.87–90.52 | 86.89 82.57–91.22 81.26–92.52 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.87 | 24.57 18.79–30.35 17.28–31.85 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 3.19 1.63–4.74 1.21–5.17 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.