Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
18%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.132.383.51safe0.17–2.101.52–3.231.69–5.34safer0.00–2.351.30–3.461.21–5.81
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.986.5310.51safe2.12–5.844.79–8.276.91–14.12safer1.63–6.334.32–8.745.95–15.07
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3917.3928.79safe7.47–15.3213.83–20.9621.30–36.27safer6.38–16.4112.87–21.9219.25–38.32
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7411.3819.11safe4.80–10.688.69–14.0613.49–24.74safer3.97–11.517.96–14.7911.92–26.30
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.885.007.88safe1.00–4.763.35–6.664.35–11.42safer0.45–5.302.86–7.153.31–12.45
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.276.1010.37safe2.06–6.494.10–8.106.16–14.58safer1.49–7.063.56–8.635.05–15.69
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.2364.62safe29.44–43.0257.83–71.40safer27.77–44.6956.16–73.07
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction302559861safe235–369492–625727–995safer217–388475–643692–1030
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction72.2584.14safe68.22–76.2879.82–88.46safer66.93–77.5778.51–89.77
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1112.5224.63safe9.27–14.959.57–15.4618.84–30.41safer8.52–15.708.82–16.2117.34–31.91
Offsides
73%
14%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.211.414.62safe2.05–4.370.32–2.502.36–6.87safer1.75–4.670.03–2.791.77–7.46
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.633.57safe0.89–2.990.50–2.761.39–5.75safer0.63–3.260.21–3.050.84–6.31
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.052.776.82safe2.61–5.481.22–4.333.83–9.81safer2.22–5.870.79–4.753.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 2.38 1.52–3.23 1.30–3.46 | 3.51 1.69–5.34 1.21–5.81 | 17% 18% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.12–5.84 1.63–6.33 | 6.53 4.79–8.27 4.32–8.74 | 10.51 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.07 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 11.39 7.47–15.32 6.38–16.41 | 17.39 13.83–20.96 12.87–21.92 | 28.79 21.30–36.27 19.25–38.32 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 7.74 4.80–10.68 3.97–11.51 | 11.38 8.69–14.06 7.96–14.79 | 19.11 13.49–24.74 11.92–26.30 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.88 1.00–4.76 0.45–5.30 | 5.00 3.35–6.66 2.86–7.15 | 7.88 4.35–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.06–6.49 1.49–7.06 | 6.10 4.10–8.10 3.56–8.63 | 10.37 6.16–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 36.23 29.44–43.02 27.77–44.69 | 64.62 57.83–71.40 56.16–73.07 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 302 235–369 217–388 | 559 492–625 475–643 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.25 68.22–76.28 66.93–77.57 | 84.14 79.82–88.46 78.51–89.77 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.11 9.27–14.95 8.52–15.70 | 12.52 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 24.63 18.84–30.41 17.34–31.91 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 3.21 2.05–4.37 1.75–4.67 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 4.62 2.36–6.87 1.77–7.46 | 73% 14% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.05 2.61–5.48 2.22–5.87 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 6.82 3.83–9.81 3.02–10.63 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.