Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.892.91safe1.05–2.990.04–1.751.09–4.74safer0.80–3.240.00–1.980.61–5.22
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.159.08safe4.06–7.791.41–4.895.47–12.68safer3.57–8.280.94–5.364.51–13.64
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.179.8226.00safe12.25–20.106.26–13.3918.51–33.49safer11.16–21.195.30–14.3516.46–35.54
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.656.0717.72safe8.71–14.593.39–8.7512.10–23.34safer7.88–15.422.65–9.4910.53–24.91
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.626.81safe2.31–6.070.97–4.273.27–10.34safer1.77–6.620.47–4.762.24–11.38
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.8510.77safe4.71–9.131.85–5.856.55–14.98safer4.13–9.711.31–6.385.45–16.09
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.1139.14safe54.32–67.9032.36–45.93safer52.65–69.5730.68–47.60
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction574366940safe507–642299–432806–1074safer489–660282–450771–1109
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction81.4074.92safe77.37–85.4370.59–79.24safer76.08–86.7269.28–80.55
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2311.0021.23safe7.39–13.068.06–13.9515.45–27.01safer6.63–13.827.31–14.7013.94–28.52
Offsides
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.421.194.62safe2.26–4.580.10–2.292.36–6.87safer1.96–4.890.00–2.571.77–7.46
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.833.03safe0.15–2.250.70–2.960.86–5.21safer0.00–2.520.41–3.250.30–5.77
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.036.20safe0.74–3.612.48–5.593.21–9.20safer0.35–3.992.05–6.012.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.91 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 64% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.79 3.57–8.28 | 3.15 1.41–4.89 0.94–5.36 | 9.08 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.64 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 16.17 12.25–20.10 11.16–21.19 | 9.82 6.26–13.39 5.30–14.35 | 26.00 18.51–33.49 16.46–35.54 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.65 8.71–14.59 7.88–15.42 | 6.07 3.39–8.75 2.65–9.49 | 17.72 12.10–23.34 10.53–24.91 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.77–6.62 | 2.62 0.97–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 6.92 4.71–9.13 4.13–9.71 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.31–6.38 | 10.77 6.55–14.98 5.45–16.09 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 61.11 54.32–67.90 52.65–69.57 | 39.14 32.36–45.93 30.68–47.60 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 574 507–642 489–660 | 366 299–432 282–450 | 940 806–1074 771–1109 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.40 77.37–85.43 76.08–86.72 | 74.92 70.59–79.24 69.28–80.55 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.06 6.63–13.82 | 11.00 8.06–13.95 7.31–14.70 | 21.23 15.45–27.01 13.94–28.52 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 3.42 2.26–4.58 1.96–4.89 | 1.19 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.57 | 4.62 2.36–6.87 1.77–7.46 | 79% |
| Yellow cards | 1.20 0.15–2.25 0.00–2.52 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.03 0.86–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–3.99 | 4.03 2.48–5.59 2.05–6.01 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.