Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.562.94safe0.42–2.350.70–2.411.12–4.77safer0.17–2.600.48–2.640.64–5.25
Shots on target
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.635.019.64safe2.77–6.493.27–6.756.04–13.25safer2.28–6.982.80–7.225.08–14.20
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2213.2027.42safe10.29–18.149.64–16.7619.93–34.91safer9.20–19.238.68–17.7217.88–36.96
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.568.5517.11safe5.62–11.505.87–11.2311.49–22.74safer4.79–12.335.13–11.979.92–24.30
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.517.36safe1.96–5.731.86–5.163.82–10.89safer1.42–6.271.37–5.662.79–11.93
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.619.44safe2.61–7.042.61–6.615.22–13.65safer2.04–7.612.08–7.154.12–14.76
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.5051.22safe41.71–55.2944.44–58.01safer40.04–56.9642.77–59.68
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction446477923safe379–513410–543789–1056safer361–531393–561753–1092
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction83.8285.46safe79.79–87.8581.14–89.78safer78.50–89.1479.83–91.09
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1710.7623.93safe10.33–16.017.82–13.7118.15–29.71safer9.58–16.767.07–14.4516.64–31.22
Offsides
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.973.52safe0.39–2.710.88–3.061.27–5.78safer0.09–3.010.59–3.350.68–6.37
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.064.39safe1.28–3.380.93–3.182.21–6.57safer1.02–3.650.64–3.481.65–7.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.376.85safe2.05–4.921.81–4.923.86–9.85safer1.66–5.311.38–5.353.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.60 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.48–2.64 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.49 2.28–6.98 | 5.01 3.27–6.75 2.80–7.22 | 9.64 6.04–13.25 5.08–14.20 | 39% 48% |
| Total shots | 14.22 10.29–18.14 9.20–19.23 | 13.20 9.64–16.76 8.68–17.72 | 27.42 19.93–34.91 17.88–36.96 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.56 5.62–11.50 4.79–12.33 | 8.55 5.87–11.23 5.13–11.97 | 17.11 11.49–22.74 9.92–24.30 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 3.51 1.86–5.16 1.37–5.66 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.79–11.93 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 9.44 5.22–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.50 41.71–55.29 40.04–56.96 | 51.22 44.44–58.01 42.77–59.68 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–531 | 477 410–543 393–561 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.82 79.79–87.85 78.50–89.14 | 85.46 81.14–89.78 79.83–91.09 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.33–16.01 9.58–16.76 | 10.76 7.82–13.71 7.07–14.45 | 23.93 18.15–29.71 16.64–31.22 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.97 0.88–3.06 0.59–3.35 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.02–3.65 | 2.06 0.93–3.18 0.64–3.48 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.65–7.12 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.49 2.05–4.92 1.66–5.31 | 3.37 1.81–4.92 1.38–5.35 | 6.85 3.86–9.85 3.05–10.66 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.