Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.062.93safe0.90–2.830.21–1.921.10–4.75safer0.64–3.080.00–2.150.62–5.23
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.003.789.78safe4.14–7.872.04–5.526.18–13.39safer3.65–8.361.57–5.995.22–14.35
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7110.0627.77safe13.78–21.636.50–13.6220.28–35.26safer12.69–22.735.54–14.5818.23–37.31
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.097.4118.50safe8.15–14.034.73–10.0912.88–24.12safer7.32–14.863.99–10.8311.31–25.69
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.597.45safe2.97–6.740.94–4.243.91–10.98safer2.43–7.280.45–4.742.88–12.02
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.7210.01safe4.08–8.511.72–5.725.80–14.23safer3.50–9.081.19–6.254.69–15.33
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8338.56safe55.04–68.6231.78–45.35safer53.37–70.2930.11–47.02
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction582370953safe515–650304–437819–1086safer497–668286–454783–1122
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction87.1375.33safe83.10–91.1671.01–79.66safer81.81–92.4569.70–80.97
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2411.1722.41safe8.40–14.088.23–14.1216.63–28.19safer7.65–14.837.48–14.8615.13–29.70
Offsides
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.023.68safe0.50–2.820.93–3.111.42–5.93safer0.19–3.120.64–3.400.83–6.52
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.933.29safe0.31–2.410.80–3.061.11–5.47safer0.05–2.680.51–3.350.56–6.03
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.276.67safe0.96–3.832.71–5.833.68–9.66safer0.57–4.222.29–6.252.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.90–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.00 4.14–7.87 3.65–8.36 | 3.78 2.04–5.52 1.57–5.99 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.35 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.71 13.78–21.63 12.69–22.73 | 10.06 6.50–13.62 5.54–14.58 | 27.77 20.28–35.26 18.23–37.31 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.09 8.15–14.03 7.32–14.86 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 18.50 12.88–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.97–6.74 2.43–7.28 | 2.59 0.94–4.24 0.45–4.74 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.51 3.50–9.08 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.19–6.25 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 61.83 55.04–68.62 53.37–70.29 | 38.56 31.78–45.35 30.11–47.02 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 582 515–650 497–668 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 953 819–1086 783–1122 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.13 83.10–91.16 81.81–92.45 | 75.33 71.01–79.66 69.70–80.97 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.40–14.08 7.65–14.83 | 11.17 8.23–14.12 7.48–14.86 | 22.41 16.63–28.19 15.13–29.70 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 2.02 0.93–3.11 0.64–3.40 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 4.27 2.71–5.83 2.29–6.25 | 6.67 3.68–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.