Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.192.74safe0.58–2.520.33–2.040.91–4.56safer0.33–2.770.11–2.270.43–5.04
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.889.19safe3.46–7.182.13–5.625.59–12.80safer2.97–7.671.67–6.084.63–13.75
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7510.8026.55safe11.82–19.677.24–14.3619.06–34.04safer10.73–20.766.28–15.3217.01–36.09
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.737.6117.34safe6.79–12.674.93–10.2911.72–22.96safer5.96–13.504.19–11.0310.15–24.53
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.346.87safe2.65–6.420.68–3.993.34–10.41safer2.11–6.960.19–4.482.30–11.44
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.743.729.46safe3.53–7.961.72–5.725.25–13.68safer2.95–8.531.19–6.254.14–14.78
Possession %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction58.3842.90safe51.59–65.1736.12–49.69safer49.92–66.8434.45–51.36
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction523387910safe455–590321–454776–1043safer437–608303–471740–1079
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction84.5279.76safe80.49–88.5575.44–84.09safer79.20–89.8474.13–85.40
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7713.1525.92safe9.93–15.6110.20–16.0920.14–31.70safer9.18–16.369.46–16.8418.63–33.21
Offsides
18%
15%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.643.114.75safe0.48–2.802.02–4.202.50–7.01safer0.18–3.101.73–4.491.91–7.59
Yellow cards
29%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.754.83safe1.04–3.131.62–3.882.65–7.01safer0.77–3.401.33–4.172.10–7.57
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.496.13safe1.20–4.071.94–5.053.13–9.12safer0.81–4.461.51–5.472.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.18 2.97–7.67 | 3.88 2.13–5.62 1.67–6.08 | 9.19 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.75 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.75 11.82–19.67 10.73–20.76 | 10.80 7.24–14.36 6.28–15.32 | 26.55 19.06–34.04 17.01–36.09 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.79–12.67 5.96–13.50 | 7.61 4.93–10.29 4.19–11.03 | 17.34 11.72–22.96 10.15–24.53 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.65–6.42 2.11–6.96 | 2.34 0.68–3.99 0.19–4.48 | 6.87 3.34–10.41 2.30–11.44 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.96 2.95–8.53 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.19–6.25 | 9.46 5.25–13.68 4.14–14.78 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 58.38 51.59–65.17 49.92–66.84 | 42.90 36.12–49.69 34.45–51.36 | — | 80% 16% |
| Passes | 523 455–590 437–608 | 387 321–454 303–471 | 910 776–1043 740–1079 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.52 80.49–88.55 79.20–89.84 | 79.76 75.44–84.09 74.13–85.40 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 12.77 9.93–15.61 9.18–16.36 | 13.15 10.20–16.09 9.46–16.84 | 25.92 20.14–31.70 18.63–33.21 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 3.11 2.02–4.20 1.73–4.49 | 4.75 2.50–7.01 1.91–7.59 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 2.75 1.62–3.88 1.33–4.17 | 4.83 2.65–7.01 2.10–7.57 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.13 3.13–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+