Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.810.823.64safe1.85–3.780.00–1.681.81–5.46safer1.59–4.030.00–1.901.33–5.94
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.843.2811.13safe5.98–9.701.54–5.037.52–14.73safer5.49–10.191.08–5.496.57–15.69
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.908.5329.44safe16.98–24.834.97–12.1021.95–36.92safer15.89–25.924.01–13.0619.90–38.97
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.375.4419.80safe11.42–17.312.76–8.1214.18–25.43safer10.59–18.142.02–8.8612.61–26.99
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.392.257.63safe3.51–7.270.59–3.904.10–11.17safer2.96–7.810.10–4.393.06–12.20
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.153.0010.16safe4.94–9.361.00–5.005.94–14.37safer4.36–9.940.47–5.544.83–15.48
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.5038.77safe54.71–68.2931.98–45.55safer53.04–69.9630.31–47.22
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction605379984safe538–672313–445850–1118safer520–690295–463815–1153
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction90.5682.65safe86.53–94.5978.32–86.97safer85.24–95.8877.01–88.28
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction10.919.7820.69safe8.08–13.756.84–12.7314.91–26.48safer7.32–14.516.09–13.4713.41–27.98
Offsides
60%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.621.564.19safe1.46–3.780.47–2.661.93–6.44safer1.16–4.080.18–2.951.34–7.03
Yellow cards
26%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.592.68safe0.04–2.140.46–2.720.50–4.86safer0.00–2.400.17–3.010.00–5.42
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.274.837.11safe0.84–3.713.28–6.394.12–10.10safer0.45–4.102.85–6.823.30–10.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.81 1.85–3.78 1.59–4.03 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 3.64 1.81–5.46 1.33–5.94 | 79% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.84 5.98–9.70 5.49–10.19 | 3.28 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.49 | 11.13 7.52–14.73 6.57–15.69 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.90 16.98–24.83 15.89–25.92 | 8.53 4.97–12.10 4.01–13.06 | 29.44 21.95–36.92 19.90–38.97 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.37 11.42–17.31 10.59–18.14 | 5.44 2.76–8.12 2.02–8.86 | 19.80 14.18–25.43 12.61–26.99 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.39 3.51–7.27 2.96–7.81 | 2.25 0.59–3.90 0.10–4.39 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.15 4.94–9.36 4.36–9.94 | 3.00 1.00–5.00 0.47–5.54 | 10.16 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.48 | 88% |
| Possession % | 61.50 54.71–68.29 53.04–69.96 | 38.77 31.98–45.55 30.31–47.22 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 605 538–672 520–690 | 379 313–445 295–463 | 984 850–1118 815–1153 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.56 86.53–94.59 85.24–95.88 | 82.65 78.32–86.97 77.01–88.28 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.08–13.75 7.32–14.51 | 9.78 6.84–12.73 6.09–13.47 | 20.69 14.91–26.48 13.41–27.98 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.62 1.46–3.78 1.16–4.08 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 4.19 1.93–6.44 1.34–7.03 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.09 0.04–2.14 0.00–2.40 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 2.68 0.50–4.86 0.00–5.42 | 26% 25% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 4.83 3.28–6.39 2.85–6.82 | 7.11 4.12–10.10 3.30–10.91 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+