Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.803.19safe1.43–3.360.00–1.651.37–5.01safer1.18–3.620.00–1.880.89–5.49
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.722.989.69safe4.86–8.581.23–4.726.09–13.30safer4.37–9.070.77–5.185.13–14.26
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.058.3126.36safe14.13–21.974.75–11.8718.87–33.85safer13.03–23.073.79–12.8316.82–35.90
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction11.984.8616.84safe9.04–14.922.18–7.5411.22–22.46safer8.21–15.751.44–8.289.65–24.03
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.962.247.20safe3.08–6.840.58–3.893.66–10.73safer2.53–7.380.09–4.382.63–11.77
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.752.999.74safe4.53–8.960.99–4.995.52–13.95safer3.96–9.530.46–5.534.42–15.06
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.5338.45safe54.74–68.3231.66–45.23safer53.07–69.9929.99–46.90
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction558352909safe491–625285–418776–1043safer472–643268–436740–1079
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction80.7473.72safe76.71–84.7769.39–78.04safer75.42–86.0668.09–79.35
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2811.7925.07safe10.44–16.118.84–14.7319.28–30.85safer9.68–16.878.10–15.4817.78–32.35
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.352.92safe0.41–2.730.26–2.450.67–5.18safer0.11–3.030.00–2.740.08–5.77
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.093.37safe0.23–2.330.96–3.221.19–5.55safer0.00–2.590.67–3.510.63–6.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.094.256.35safe0.66–3.532.70–5.813.36–9.34safer0.27–3.922.27–6.232.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.36 1.18–3.62 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.72 4.86–8.58 4.37–9.07 | 2.98 1.23–4.72 0.77–5.18 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.26 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.05 14.13–21.97 13.03–23.07 | 8.31 4.75–11.87 3.79–12.83 | 26.36 18.87–33.85 16.82–35.90 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.98 9.04–14.92 8.21–15.75 | 4.86 2.18–7.54 1.44–8.28 | 16.84 11.22–22.46 9.65–24.03 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.96 3.08–6.84 2.53–7.38 | 2.24 0.58–3.89 0.09–4.38 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.63–11.77 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.53–8.96 3.96–9.53 | 2.99 0.99–4.99 0.46–5.53 | 9.74 5.52–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 85% |
| Possession % | 61.53 54.74–68.32 53.07–69.99 | 38.45 31.66–45.23 29.99–46.90 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 558 491–625 472–643 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 909 776–1043 740–1079 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.74 76.71–84.77 75.42–86.06 | 73.72 69.39–78.04 68.09–79.35 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 13.28 10.44–16.11 9.68–16.87 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.10–15.48 | 25.07 19.28–30.85 17.78–32.35 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.92 0.67–5.18 0.08–5.77 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.63–6.11 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 4.25 2.70–5.81 2.27–6.23 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.