Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.862.82safe0.00–1.921.01–2.721.00–4.64safer0.00–2.180.78–2.940.52–5.12
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.415.038.44safe1.55–5.273.29–6.774.83–12.04safer1.06–5.762.82–7.243.88–13.00
Total shots
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6514.8725.51safe6.72–14.5711.30–18.4318.03–33.00safer5.63–15.6610.34–19.3915.98–35.05
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.139.5715.70safe3.19–9.076.89–12.2510.08–21.32safer2.36–9.906.15–12.988.51–22.89
Blocked shots
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.736.57safe0.96–4.722.08–5.393.04–10.11safer0.41–5.261.59–5.882.00–11.14
Corners
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.905.119.01safe1.68–6.113.11–7.114.79–13.22safer1.11–6.682.58–7.643.69–14.33
Possession %
26%
71%
homeawayprediction45.5355.67safe38.74–52.3248.89–62.46safer37.07–53.9947.22–64.13
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction414514929safe347–482448–581795–1062safer329–500430–598759–1098
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction79.5381.83safe75.50–83.5677.51–86.15safer74.21–84.8676.20–87.46
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6714.2425.91safe8.83–14.5111.30–17.1920.13–31.69safer8.07–15.2610.55–17.9418.63–33.20
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.993.65safe0.50–2.820.90–3.081.40–5.90safer0.20–3.120.61–3.370.81–6.49
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.554.56safe0.96–3.061.42–3.682.39–6.74safer0.70–3.331.13–3.971.83–7.30
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.362.485.84safe1.93–4.800.92–4.032.85–8.83safer1.54–5.190.50–4.462.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.18 | 1.86 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.94 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.41 1.55–5.27 1.06–5.76 | 5.03 3.29–6.77 2.82–7.24 | 8.44 4.83–12.04 3.88–13.00 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 10.65 6.72–14.57 5.63–15.66 | 14.87 11.30–18.43 10.34–19.39 | 25.51 18.03–33.00 15.98–35.05 | 17% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.19–9.07 2.36–9.90 | 9.57 6.89–12.25 6.15–12.98 | 15.70 10.08–21.32 8.51–22.89 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.84 0.96–4.72 0.41–5.26 | 3.73 2.08–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 29% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 3.90 1.68–6.11 1.11–6.68 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 9.01 4.79–13.22 3.69–14.33 | 28% 59% |
| Possession % | 45.53 38.74–52.32 37.07–53.99 | 55.67 48.89–62.46 47.22–64.13 | — | 26% 71% |
| Passes | 414 347–482 329–500 | 514 448–581 430–598 | 929 795–1062 759–1098 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.53 75.50–83.56 74.21–84.86 | 81.83 77.51–86.15 76.20–87.46 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.83–14.51 8.07–15.26 | 14.24 11.30–17.19 10.55–17.94 | 25.91 20.13–31.69 18.63–33.20 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.65 1.40–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.56 2.39–6.74 1.83–7.30 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.48 0.92–4.03 0.50–4.46 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.