Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.472.74safe0.30–2.240.61–2.320.92–4.56safer0.05–2.490.38–2.550.44–5.04
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.448.49safe2.19–5.922.70–6.184.89–12.10safer1.70–6.412.23–6.653.93–13.06
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1912.7523.94safe7.26–15.119.19–16.3116.45–31.43safer6.17–16.208.23–17.2714.40–33.48
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.488.0415.52safe4.54–10.425.36–10.729.89–21.14safer3.71–11.254.62–11.468.33–22.71
Blocked shots
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.506.49safe1.11–4.871.85–5.152.95–10.02safer0.56–5.411.36–5.651.92–11.06
Corners
47%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.399.10safe2.49–6.922.39–6.394.88–13.31safer1.92–7.491.86–6.923.78–14.42
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction44.9454.90safe38.15–51.7348.12–61.69safer36.48–53.4046.45–63.36
Passes
20%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction448546994safe381–515480–613861–1128safer363–533462–630825–1164
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction79.8486.96safe75.81–83.8782.64–91.29safer74.52–85.1681.33–92.60
Fouls
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction11.259.4320.69safe8.41–14.096.49–12.3814.90–26.47safer7.66–14.845.74–13.1313.40–27.97
Offsides
68%
16%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.751.274.02safe1.59–3.910.18–2.371.77–6.27safer1.29–4.210.00–2.651.18–6.86
Yellow cards
40%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.863.79safe0.87–2.970.74–2.991.61–5.97safer0.61–3.240.44–3.281.05–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.070.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.260.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.390.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.735.63safe1.47–4.341.17–4.282.64–8.63safer1.08–4.730.75–4.711.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.92 1.70–6.41 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.06 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 11.19 7.26–15.11 6.17–16.20 | 12.75 9.19–16.31 8.23–17.27 | 23.94 16.45–31.43 14.40–33.48 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.54–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 15.52 9.89–21.14 8.33–22.71 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 2.99 1.11–4.87 0.56–5.41 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.36–5.65 | 6.49 2.95–10.02 1.92–11.06 | 34% 16% 50% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.49 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.92 | 9.10 4.88–13.31 3.78–14.42 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 44.94 38.15–51.73 36.48–53.40 | 54.90 48.12–61.69 46.45–63.36 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 363–533 | 546 480–613 462–630 | 994 861–1128 825–1164 | 20% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.84 75.81–83.87 74.52–85.16 | 86.96 82.64–91.29 81.33–92.60 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.66–14.84 | 9.43 6.49–12.38 5.74–13.13 | 20.69 14.90–26.47 13.40–27.97 | 61% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.75 1.59–3.91 1.29–4.21 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.65 | 4.02 1.77–6.27 1.18–6.86 | 68% 16% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.86 0.74–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 40% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 2.73 1.17–4.28 0.75–4.71 | 5.63 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 44% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+