Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.142.97safe0.86–2.800.29–1.991.15–4.80safer0.61–3.050.06–2.220.67–5.28
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.779.14safe3.50–7.232.03–5.525.53–12.74safer3.01–7.721.57–5.984.58–13.70
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2311.8928.12safe12.30–20.158.33–15.4520.63–35.61safer11.21–21.257.37–16.4118.58–37.66
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.677.3117.98safe7.73–13.614.63–10.0012.36–23.61safer6.90–14.443.90–10.7310.79–25.17
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.037.40safe2.48–6.251.38–4.693.86–10.93safer1.94–6.790.89–5.182.83–11.97
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.4710.30safe3.62–8.052.47–6.476.09–14.51safer3.05–8.621.93–7.004.98–15.62
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.2045.19safe48.40–61.9938.41–51.98safer46.74–63.6636.74–53.65
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction454351805safe387–521284–417671–938safer369–540267–434635–974
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction81.2876.23safe77.25–85.3171.90–80.55safer75.95–86.6070.59–81.86
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9512.7524.71safe9.12–14.799.81–15.7018.92–30.49safer8.36–15.559.06–16.4517.42–31.99
Offsides
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.833.17safe0.18–2.500.74–2.920.92–5.43safer0.00–2.800.45–3.210.33–6.02
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.064.04safe0.93–3.020.93–3.191.86–6.22safer0.66–3.290.64–3.481.30–6.77
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.796.47safe1.24–4.112.23–5.353.47–9.46safer0.85–4.501.81–5.772.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.14 0.29–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 54% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.23 3.01–7.72 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.23 12.30–20.15 11.21–21.25 | 11.89 8.33–15.45 7.37–16.41 | 28.12 20.63–35.61 18.58–37.66 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.67 7.73–13.61 6.90–14.44 | 7.31 4.63–10.00 3.90–10.73 | 17.98 12.36–23.61 10.79–25.17 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.48–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 3.03 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 7.40 3.86–10.93 2.83–11.97 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.93–7.00 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 55.20 48.40–61.99 46.74–63.66 | 45.19 38.41–51.98 36.74–53.65 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 369–540 | 351 284–417 267–434 | 805 671–938 635–974 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.28 77.25–85.31 75.95–86.60 | 76.23 71.90–80.55 70.59–81.86 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.12–14.79 8.36–15.55 | 12.75 9.81–15.70 9.06–16.45 | 24.71 18.92–30.49 17.42–31.99 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.93–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 4.04 1.86–6.22 1.30–6.77 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.79 2.23–5.35 1.81–5.77 | 6.47 3.47–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+