Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.652.68safe0.06–1.990.80–2.500.85–4.50safer0.00–2.250.57–2.730.37–4.98
Shots on target
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.908.93safe2.16–5.893.16–6.645.32–12.53safer1.67–6.382.69–7.114.37–13.49
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0615.1727.23safe8.13–15.9811.61–18.7419.74–34.72safer7.04–17.0710.65–19.7017.69–36.77
Shots in box
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction7.499.9817.47safe4.55–10.437.29–12.6611.84–23.09safer3.72–11.266.56–13.3910.28–24.66
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.228.00safe1.90–5.662.57–5.874.47–11.54safer1.36–6.212.07–6.363.43–12.57
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.665.209.87safe2.45–6.883.20–7.205.65–14.08safer1.88–7.452.67–7.744.54–15.19
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.0258.18safe35.23–48.8151.39–64.96safer33.56–50.4849.72–66.63
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction339483822safe272–406416–549688–955safer253–424399–567652–991
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction75.0282.95safe70.99–79.0578.63–87.28safer69.70–80.3477.32–88.59
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7612.4326.19safe10.93–16.609.48–15.3720.41–31.97safer10.17–17.368.73–16.1218.90–33.48
Offsides
47%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.313.02safe0.55–2.870.22–2.410.77–5.27safer0.25–3.170.00–2.690.18–5.86
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.154.42safe1.22–3.321.02–3.282.25–6.60safer0.96–3.590.73–3.571.69–7.16
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.976.24safe1.83–4.701.42–4.533.25–9.23safer1.44–5.090.99–4.952.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.25 | 1.65 0.80–2.50 0.57–2.73 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 24% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.89 1.67–6.38 | 4.90 3.16–6.64 2.69–7.11 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.06 8.13–15.98 7.04–17.07 | 15.17 11.61–18.74 10.65–19.70 | 27.23 19.74–34.72 17.69–36.77 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 7.49 4.55–10.43 3.72–11.26 | 9.98 7.29–12.66 6.56–13.39 | 17.47 11.84–23.09 10.28–24.66 | 24% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.36–6.21 | 4.22 2.57–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 8.00 4.47–11.54 3.43–12.57 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.66 2.45–6.88 1.88–7.45 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.74 | 9.87 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.19 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 42.02 35.23–48.81 33.56–50.48 | 58.18 51.39–64.96 49.72–66.63 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 339 272–406 253–424 | 483 416–549 399–567 | 822 688–955 652–991 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.02 70.99–79.05 69.70–80.34 | 82.95 78.63–87.28 77.32–88.59 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.76 10.93–16.60 10.17–17.36 | 12.43 9.48–15.37 8.73–16.12 | 26.19 20.41–31.97 18.90–33.48 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.69 | 3.02 0.77–5.27 0.18–5.86 | 47% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.96–3.59 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.42 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 46% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.