Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.162.50safe0.37–2.310.30–2.010.67–4.32safer0.12–2.560.08–2.240.19–4.80
Shots on target
46%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.223.968.18safe2.36–6.082.22–5.704.58–11.79safer1.87–6.571.75–6.173.62–12.74
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0212.1525.17safe9.10–16.958.59–15.7217.69–32.66safer8.01–18.047.63–16.6715.64–34.71
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.677.6416.31safe5.73–11.614.96–10.3210.69–21.94safer4.90–12.444.23–11.069.12–23.50
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.527.56safe2.16–5.921.87–5.184.03–11.10safer1.62–6.471.38–5.672.99–12.13
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.6710.12safe3.23–7.662.67–6.675.91–14.33safer2.66–8.232.14–7.204.80–15.44
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.5148.76safe44.72–58.3041.97–55.54safer43.05–59.9740.30–57.21
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction435409844safe368–502342–475710–978safer350–520325–493675–1013
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction75.0977.49safe71.06–79.1273.17–81.82safer69.77–80.4171.86–83.13
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8814.2125.09safe8.04–13.7211.26–17.1519.31–30.87safer7.29–14.4810.51–17.9017.80–32.38
Offsides
54%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.311.603.91safe1.15–3.470.51–2.701.66–6.17safer0.85–3.770.22–2.991.07–6.76
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.263.83safe0.53–2.621.13–3.391.65–6.01safer0.26–2.890.84–3.681.10–6.57
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.025.67safe1.21–4.081.46–4.582.68–8.66safer0.82–4.471.04–5.001.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.50 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.36–6.08 1.87–6.57 | 3.96 2.22–5.70 1.75–6.17 | 8.18 4.58–11.79 3.62–12.74 | 46% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.02 9.10–16.95 8.01–18.04 | 12.15 8.59–15.72 7.63–16.67 | 25.17 17.69–32.66 15.64–34.71 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.67 5.73–11.61 4.90–12.44 | 7.64 4.96–10.32 4.23–11.06 | 16.31 10.69–21.94 9.12–23.50 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.62–6.47 | 3.52 1.87–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 7.56 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.13 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.23–7.66 2.66–8.23 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.20 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 51.51 44.72–58.30 43.05–59.97 | 48.76 41.97–55.54 40.30–57.21 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 435 368–502 350–520 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.09 71.06–79.12 69.77–80.41 | 77.49 73.17–81.82 71.86–83.13 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.04–13.72 7.29–14.48 | 14.21 11.26–17.15 10.51–17.90 | 25.09 19.31–30.87 17.80–32.38 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.31 1.15–3.47 0.85–3.77 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 54% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.02 1.46–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+