Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.822.593.40safe0.00–1.781.73–3.441.58–5.23safer0.00–2.041.51–3.671.10–5.71
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.007.2810.28safe1.13–4.865.54–9.036.67–13.89safer0.64–5.355.08–9.495.72–14.84
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3917.7428.13safe6.47–14.3214.18–21.3020.65–35.62safer5.38–15.4113.22–22.2618.59–37.67
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8312.2619.09safe3.88–9.779.58–14.9413.47–24.71safer3.05–10.608.84–15.6811.90–26.28
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.864.347.19safe0.98–4.742.68–5.993.66–10.73safer0.43–5.282.19–6.482.62–11.77
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.006.2810.28safe1.79–6.224.28–8.286.07–14.50safer1.22–6.793.75–8.814.96–15.60
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction35.1365.21safe28.34–41.9258.43–72.00safer26.67–43.5956.76–73.67
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction335625960safe267–402559–691826–1093safer249–420541–709790–1129
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction77.4488.72safe73.41–81.4784.39–93.04safer72.12–82.7683.09–94.35
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.069.6019.66safe7.22–12.906.66–12.5513.88–25.45safer6.47–13.655.91–13.3012.38–26.95
Offsides
18%
15%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.683.114.79safe0.52–2.842.02–4.202.54–7.04safer0.22–3.141.73–4.491.95–7.63
Yellow cards
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.262.92safe0.62–2.720.13–2.380.74–5.10safer0.35–2.980.00–2.680.19–5.66
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.172.086.25safe2.73–5.610.53–3.643.26–9.25safer2.35–5.990.10–4.062.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.82 0.00–1.78 0.00–2.04 | 2.59 1.73–3.44 1.51–3.67 | 3.40 1.58–5.23 1.10–5.71 | 15% 75% |
| Shots on target | 3.00 1.13–4.86 0.64–5.35 | 7.28 5.54–9.03 5.08–9.49 | 10.28 6.67–13.89 5.72–14.84 | 89% |
| Total shots | 10.39 6.47–14.32 5.38–15.41 | 17.74 14.18–21.30 13.22–22.26 | 28.13 20.65–35.62 18.59–37.67 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.88–9.77 3.05–10.60 | 12.26 9.58–14.94 8.84–15.68 | 19.09 13.47–24.71 11.90–26.28 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.86 0.98–4.74 0.43–5.28 | 4.34 2.68–5.99 2.19–6.48 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.77 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 4.00 1.79–6.22 1.22–6.79 | 6.28 4.28–8.28 3.75–8.81 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 35.13 28.34–41.92 26.67–43.59 | 65.21 58.43–72.00 56.76–73.67 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 335 267–402 249–420 | 625 559–691 541–709 | 960 826–1093 790–1129 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.44 73.41–81.47 72.12–82.76 | 88.72 84.39–93.04 83.09–94.35 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.47–13.65 | 9.60 6.66–12.55 5.91–13.30 | 19.66 13.88–25.45 12.38–26.95 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 3.11 2.02–4.20 1.73–4.49 | 4.79 2.54–7.04 1.95–7.63 | 18% 15% 66% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.26 0.13–2.38 0.00–2.68 | 2.92 0.74–5.10 0.19–5.66 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.17 2.73–5.61 2.35–5.99 | 2.08 0.53–3.64 0.10–4.06 | 6.25 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.