Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.032.64safe0.64–2.580.18–1.890.82–4.47safer0.39–2.830.00–2.110.34–4.94
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.273.628.89safe3.41–7.141.87–5.365.28–12.49safer2.92–7.631.41–5.824.33–13.45
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9611.1826.14safe11.03–18.887.62–14.7418.65–33.63safer9.94–19.986.66–15.7016.60–35.68
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.426.7816.21safe6.48–12.374.10–9.4610.58–21.83safer5.65–13.203.36–10.209.02–23.40
Blocked shots
61%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.313.077.38safe2.43–6.201.41–4.723.85–10.92safer1.89–6.740.92–5.212.81–11.95
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.704.4210.13safe3.49–7.922.42–6.425.91–14.34safer2.92–8.491.89–6.964.81–15.45
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.6143.98safe49.82–63.4037.20–50.76safer48.15–65.0735.52–52.44
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction511392903safe444–578325–458769–1036safer426–596308–476733–1072
Pass accuracy %
71%
24%
homeawayprediction87.4282.54safe83.40–91.4578.22–86.86safer82.10–92.7576.91–88.17
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6713.3725.04safe8.84–14.5110.43–16.3219.26–30.83safer8.08–15.279.68–17.0717.76–32.33
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.363.21safe0.69–3.010.26–2.450.95–5.46safer0.39–3.310.00–2.740.36–6.05
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.063.47safe0.36–2.460.94–3.191.29–5.65safer0.09–2.720.64–3.480.74–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.536.07safe1.10–3.971.97–5.093.07–9.06safer0.71–4.361.55–5.512.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.11 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.94 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.27 3.41–7.14 2.92–7.63 | 3.62 1.87–5.36 1.41–5.82 | 8.89 5.28–12.49 4.33–13.45 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.96 11.03–18.88 9.94–19.98 | 11.18 7.62–14.74 6.66–15.70 | 26.14 18.65–33.63 16.60–35.68 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.48–12.37 5.65–13.20 | 6.78 4.10–9.46 3.36–10.20 | 16.21 10.58–21.83 9.02–23.40 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.95 | 61% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.70 3.49–7.92 2.92–8.49 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.96 | 10.13 5.91–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 56.61 49.82–63.40 48.15–65.07 | 43.98 37.20–50.76 35.52–52.44 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 511 444–578 426–596 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 903 769–1036 733–1072 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.42 83.40–91.45 82.10–92.75 | 82.54 78.22–86.86 76.91–88.17 | — | 71% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.84–14.51 8.08–15.27 | 13.37 10.43–16.32 9.68–17.07 | 25.04 19.26–30.83 17.76–32.33 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 2.06 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.53 1.97–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+