Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.162.43safe0.31–2.250.30–2.010.61–4.26safer0.06–2.500.07–2.240.13–4.74
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.523.938.45safe2.66–6.382.18–5.674.84–12.05safer2.17–6.871.72–6.143.89–13.01
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1711.4125.58safe10.25–18.107.85–14.9718.09–33.07safer9.16–19.196.89–15.9316.04–35.12
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.557.0915.63safe5.61–11.494.41–9.7710.01–21.26safer4.78–12.323.67–10.508.44–22.83
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.207.30safe2.22–5.981.55–4.853.77–10.84safer1.68–6.531.06–5.352.73–11.87
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.959.46safe3.30–7.731.95–5.955.25–13.68safer2.73–8.301.41–6.484.14–14.78
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.6445.71safe47.85–61.4338.92–52.49safer46.18–63.1037.25–54.17
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction505442947safe438–573375–508813–1081safer420–591358–526778–1116
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction84.6983.07safe80.66–88.7278.74–87.39safer79.37–90.0177.43–88.70
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5613.1224.68safe8.72–14.4010.17–16.0618.89–30.46safer7.97–15.159.42–16.8117.39–31.96
Offsides
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.283.60safe0.16–2.491.18–3.371.35–5.85safer0.00–2.790.90–3.660.76–6.44
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.763.28safe0.47–2.570.63–2.891.11–5.46safer0.21–2.840.34–3.180.55–6.02
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.295.76safe1.03–3.911.73–4.842.77–8.75safer0.65–4.291.31–5.271.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.43 0.61–4.26 0.13–4.74 | 39% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.52 2.66–6.38 2.17–6.87 | 3.93 2.18–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 8.45 4.84–12.05 3.89–13.01 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.17 10.25–18.10 9.16–19.19 | 11.41 7.85–14.97 6.89–15.93 | 25.58 18.09–33.07 16.04–35.12 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.50 | 15.63 10.01–21.26 8.44–22.83 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.68–6.53 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.06–5.35 | 7.30 3.77–10.84 2.73–11.87 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.41–6.48 | 9.46 5.25–13.68 4.14–14.78 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 54.64 47.85–61.43 46.18–63.10 | 45.71 38.92–52.49 37.25–54.17 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 505 438–573 420–591 | 442 375–508 358–526 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.69 80.66–88.72 79.37–90.01 | 83.07 78.74–87.39 77.43–88.70 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.40 7.97–15.15 | 13.12 10.17–16.06 9.42–16.81 | 24.68 18.89–30.46 17.39–31.96 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.32 0.16–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 2.28 1.18–3.37 0.90–3.66 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.28 1.11–5.46 0.55–6.02 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.03–3.91 0.65–4.29 | 3.29 1.73–4.84 1.31–5.27 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.