Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.352.93safe0.61–2.550.49–2.201.10–4.75safer0.36–2.800.27–2.430.62–5.23
Shots on target
47%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.774.459.22safe2.91–6.632.71–6.205.62–12.83safer2.42–7.122.25–6.664.66–13.78
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1012.9327.03safe10.18–18.039.36–16.4919.54–34.52safer9.09–19.128.41–17.4517.49–36.57
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.478.5116.99safe5.53–11.415.83–11.2011.36–22.61safer4.70–12.245.10–11.939.80–24.18
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.096.76safe1.78–5.551.44–4.753.22–10.29safer1.24–6.090.95–5.242.19–11.33
Corners
45%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.489.12safe2.42–6.852.48–6.484.90–13.33safer1.85–7.421.95–7.013.80–14.44
Possession %
73%
24%
homeawayprediction55.8444.70safe49.05–62.6337.91–51.48safer47.38–64.3036.24–53.15
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction485374858safe417–552307–440725–992safer399–570290–458689–1028
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction82.8679.29safe78.83–86.8974.96–83.61safer77.54–88.1873.65–84.92
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8312.8425.67safe9.99–15.679.89–15.7819.89–31.45safer9.24–16.429.15–16.5318.38–32.95
Offsides
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.953.37safe0.26–2.580.86–3.051.12–5.62safer0.00–2.880.57–3.330.53–6.21
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.153.97safe0.77–2.871.02–3.281.79–6.15safer0.51–3.140.73–3.571.24–6.71
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.156.47safe1.88–4.761.59–4.713.48–9.46safer1.50–5.141.17–5.132.67–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.27–2.43 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.77 2.91–6.63 2.42–7.12 | 4.45 2.71–6.20 2.25–6.66 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.78 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.10 10.18–18.03 9.09–19.12 | 12.93 9.36–16.49 8.41–17.45 | 27.03 19.54–34.52 17.49–36.57 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.47 5.53–11.41 4.70–12.24 | 8.51 5.83–11.20 5.10–11.93 | 16.99 11.36–22.61 9.80–24.18 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.76 3.22–10.29 2.19–11.33 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.42–6.85 1.85–7.42 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.95–7.01 | 9.12 4.90–13.33 3.80–14.44 | 45% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 55.84 49.05–62.63 47.38–64.30 | 44.70 37.91–51.48 36.24–53.15 | — | 73% 24% |
| Passes | 485 417–552 399–570 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 858 725–992 689–1028 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.86 78.83–86.89 77.54–88.18 | 79.29 74.96–83.61 73.65–84.92 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.67 9.24–16.42 | 12.84 9.89–15.78 9.15–16.53 | 25.67 19.89–31.45 18.38–32.95 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.95 0.86–3.05 0.57–3.33 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.76 1.50–5.14 | 3.15 1.59–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.27 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.