Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.860.723.59safe1.90–3.830.00–1.581.76–5.41safer1.64–4.080.00–1.801.28–5.89
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.042.4110.45safe6.18–9.910.67–4.156.85–14.06safer5.69–10.400.20–4.625.89–15.01
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.347.5430.88safe19.42–27.273.98–11.1023.39–38.37safer18.33–28.363.02–12.0621.34–40.42
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.234.6319.86safe12.29–18.181.95–7.3114.24–25.49safer11.46–19.011.21–8.0512.67–27.05
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.781.997.76safe3.90–7.660.33–3.644.23–11.30safer3.35–8.200.00–4.133.19–12.34
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.932.8110.74safe5.72–10.150.81–4.816.53–14.96safer5.14–10.720.28–5.345.42–16.06
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.3735.40safe57.58–71.1628.61–42.18safer55.91–72.8326.94–43.86
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction595303897safe527–662236–369763–1031safer509–680219–387728–1066
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction83.4069.55safe79.37–87.4365.22–73.87safer78.08–88.7263.91–75.18
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2911.9423.24safe8.46–14.139.00–14.8917.46–29.02safer7.70–14.898.25–15.6415.95–30.53
Offsides
43%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.603.43safe0.66–2.980.51–2.691.17–5.68safer0.36–3.290.22–2.980.58–6.27
Yellow cards
24%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.083.42safe0.29–2.390.95–3.211.24–5.60safer0.03–2.660.66–3.500.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.130.17safe0.00–0.200.00–0.320.00–0.52safer0.00–0.350.00–0.450.00–0.80
GK saves
88%
homeawaytotalprediction1.815.347.16safe0.38–3.253.79–6.904.17–10.15safer0.00–3.643.36–7.333.35–10.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.86 1.90–3.83 1.64–4.08 | 0.72 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.80 | 3.59 1.76–5.41 1.28–5.89 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 8.04 6.18–9.91 5.69–10.40 | 2.41 0.67–4.15 0.20–4.62 | 10.45 6.85–14.06 5.89–15.01 | 95% |
| Total shots | 23.34 19.42–27.27 18.33–28.36 | 7.54 3.98–11.10 3.02–12.06 | 30.88 23.39–38.37 21.34–40.42 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.23 12.29–18.18 11.46–19.01 | 4.63 1.95–7.31 1.21–8.05 | 19.86 14.24–25.49 12.67–27.05 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.78 3.90–7.66 3.35–8.20 | 1.99 0.33–3.64 0.00–4.13 | 7.76 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.34 | 89% |
| Corners | 7.93 5.72–10.15 5.14–10.72 | 2.81 0.81–4.81 0.28–5.34 | 10.74 6.53–14.96 5.42–16.06 | 93% |
| Possession % | 64.37 57.58–71.16 55.91–72.83 | 35.40 28.61–42.18 26.94–43.86 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 595 527–662 509–680 | 303 236–369 219–387 | 897 763–1031 728–1066 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.40 79.37–87.43 78.08–88.72 | 69.55 65.22–73.87 63.91–75.18 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.46–14.13 7.70–14.89 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 23.24 17.46–29.02 15.95–30.53 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.29 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 43% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 24% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.81 0.38–3.25 0.00–3.64 | 5.34 3.79–6.90 3.36–7.33 | 7.16 4.17–10.15 3.35–10.96 | 88% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+