Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
26%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.482.57safe0.12–2.060.62–2.330.75–4.39safer0.00–2.310.39–2.560.27–4.87
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.218.16safe2.08–5.812.47–5.954.55–11.76safer1.59–6.302.00–6.423.60–12.72
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0112.4024.40safe8.08–15.938.84–15.9616.92–31.89safer6.99–17.027.88–16.9214.87–33.94
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction7.937.9915.93safe4.99–10.875.31–10.6710.30–21.55safer4.16–11.704.58–11.418.74–23.12
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.416.70safe1.40–5.171.76–5.063.16–10.23safer0.86–5.711.27–5.562.13–11.27
Corners
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.748.90safe1.95–6.382.74–6.744.69–13.12safer1.38–6.952.20–7.273.58–14.22
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.7651.09safe41.97–55.5544.31–57.88safer40.30–57.2242.64–59.55
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction449458908safe382–517392–525774–1041safer364–535374–542738–1077
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction81.1379.26safe77.10–85.1674.94–83.59safer75.81–86.4573.63–84.90
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5614.4427.00safe9.72–15.3911.50–17.3821.22–32.78safer8.96–16.1510.75–18.1319.71–34.28
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.593.06safe0.31–2.630.49–2.680.81–5.31safer0.01–2.940.20–2.970.22–5.90
Yellow cards
32%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.364.26safe0.85–2.951.23–3.492.09–6.44safer0.59–3.220.94–3.781.53–7.00
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.032.805.83safe1.59–4.461.25–4.362.84–8.82safer1.20–4.850.82–4.792.03–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 28% 26% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.81 1.59–6.30 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 8.16 4.55–11.76 3.60–12.72 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.01 8.08–15.93 6.99–17.02 | 12.40 8.84–15.96 7.88–16.92 | 24.40 16.92–31.89 14.87–33.94 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.87 4.16–11.70 | 7.99 5.31–10.67 4.58–11.41 | 15.93 10.30–21.55 8.74–23.12 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 3.41 1.76–5.06 1.27–5.56 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.13–11.27 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.38 1.38–6.95 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 8.90 4.69–13.12 3.58–14.22 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Possession % | 48.76 41.97–55.55 40.30–57.22 | 51.09 44.31–57.88 42.64–59.55 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 449 382–517 364–535 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 908 774–1041 738–1077 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.13 77.10–85.16 75.81–86.45 | 79.26 74.94–83.59 73.63–84.90 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.56 9.72–15.39 8.96–16.15 | 14.44 11.50–17.38 10.75–18.13 | 27.00 21.22–32.78 19.71–34.28 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.94 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.97 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.26 2.09–6.44 1.53–7.00 | 32% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 2.80 1.25–4.36 0.82–4.79 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.03–9.63 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.