Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.342.48safe0.17–2.110.48–2.190.66–4.30safer0.00–2.360.25–2.420.18–4.78
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.488.65safe2.31–6.042.73–6.225.05–12.26safer1.82–6.532.27–6.694.09–13.21
Total shots
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9813.1726.15safe9.06–16.909.61–16.7318.66–33.64safer7.96–18.008.65–17.6916.61–35.69
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.888.8916.78safe4.94–10.836.21–11.5711.15–22.40safer4.11–11.665.47–12.319.59–23.97
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.417.08safe1.78–5.551.76–5.073.54–10.61safer1.24–6.091.27–5.562.51–11.65
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.195.1810.36safe2.98–7.403.18–7.186.15–14.58safer2.40–7.982.64–7.715.04–15.69
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.2249.38safe44.43–58.0142.59–56.16safer42.76–59.6840.92–57.83
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction466433900safe399–534367–500766–1033safer381–552349–517730–1069
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction82.6377.65safe78.60–86.6573.33–81.98safer77.30–87.9572.02–83.29
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7710.7923.56safe9.93–15.617.84–13.7317.78–29.34safer9.18–16.367.09–14.4816.27–30.84
Offsides
47%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.483.37safe0.73–3.050.39–2.581.12–5.62safer0.43–3.350.10–2.860.53–6.21
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.773.74safe0.92–3.020.64–2.901.56–5.92safer0.65–3.290.35–3.191.01–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.845.65safe1.37–4.241.29–4.402.66–8.64safer0.99–4.630.86–4.821.85–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.04 1.82–6.53 | 4.48 2.73–6.22 2.27–6.69 | 8.65 5.05–12.26 4.09–13.21 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.98 9.06–16.90 7.96–18.00 | 13.17 9.61–16.73 8.65–17.69 | 26.15 18.66–33.64 16.61–35.69 | 45% 48% |
| Shots in box | 7.88 4.94–10.83 4.11–11.66 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 16.78 11.15–22.40 9.59–23.97 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.41 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.08 3.54–10.61 2.51–11.65 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.40 2.40–7.98 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.64–7.71 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.69 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 51.22 44.43–58.01 42.76–59.68 | 49.38 42.59–56.16 40.92–57.83 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 433 367–500 349–517 | 900 766–1033 730–1069 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.63 78.60–86.65 77.30–87.95 | 77.65 73.33–81.98 72.02–83.29 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.77 9.93–15.61 9.18–16.36 | 10.79 7.84–13.73 7.09–14.48 | 23.56 17.78–29.34 16.27–30.84 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 47% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.29 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.99–4.63 | 2.84 1.29–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.45 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.