Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.670.723.39safe1.70–3.630.00–1.581.57–5.21safer1.45–3.890.00–1.811.09–5.69
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.232.6410.87safe6.37–10.090.90–4.387.27–14.48safer5.88–10.580.43–4.856.31–15.43
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.917.9629.87safe17.99–25.844.39–11.5222.38–37.36safer16.90–26.933.43–12.4820.33–39.41
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.765.0018.76safe10.81–16.702.32–7.6813.13–24.38safer9.99–17.531.58–8.4211.57–25.95
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.381.857.23safe3.50–7.260.20–3.513.69–10.77safer2.95–7.800.00–4.002.66–11.80
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.032.9911.02safe5.82–10.250.99–4.996.81–15.24safer5.25–10.820.46–5.535.70–16.35
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.2931.60safe61.50–75.0824.82–38.39safer59.83–76.7523.15–40.06
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction637290926safe569–704223–356793–1060safer551–722206–374757–1096
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction87.1371.34safe83.10–91.1667.02–75.66safer81.80–92.4565.71–76.97
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4111.7722.18safe7.57–13.258.82–14.7116.39–27.96safer6.82–14.008.07–15.4614.89–29.46
Offsides
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.695.94safe2.09–4.411.60–3.783.68–8.19safer1.79–4.711.31–4.073.09–8.78
Yellow cards
19%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.243.39safe0.10–2.201.11–3.371.22–5.57safer0.00–2.470.82–3.660.66–6.13
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction1.905.397.28safe0.46–3.333.83–6.944.29–10.28safer0.07–3.723.41–7.373.48–11.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.67 1.70–3.63 1.45–3.89 | 0.72 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 3.39 1.57–5.21 1.09–5.69 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 8.23 6.37–10.09 5.88–10.58 | 2.64 0.90–4.38 0.43–4.85 | 10.87 7.27–14.48 6.31–15.43 | 94% |
| Total shots | 21.91 17.99–25.84 16.90–26.93 | 7.96 4.39–11.52 3.43–12.48 | 29.87 22.38–37.36 20.33–39.41 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.76 10.81–16.70 9.99–17.53 | 5.00 2.32–7.68 1.58–8.42 | 18.76 13.13–24.38 11.57–25.95 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.38 3.50–7.26 2.95–7.80 | 1.85 0.20–3.51 0.00–4.00 | 7.23 3.69–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.03 5.82–10.25 5.25–10.82 | 2.99 0.99–4.99 0.46–5.53 | 11.02 6.81–15.24 5.70–16.35 | 92% |
| Possession % | 68.29 61.50–75.08 59.83–76.75 | 31.60 24.82–38.39 23.15–40.06 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 637 569–704 551–722 | 290 223–356 206–374 | 926 793–1060 757–1096 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.13 83.10–91.16 81.80–92.45 | 71.34 67.02–75.66 65.71–76.97 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.41 7.57–13.25 6.82–14.00 | 11.77 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 22.18 16.39–27.96 14.89–29.46 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 3.25 2.09–4.41 1.79–4.71 | 2.69 1.60–3.78 1.31–4.07 | 5.94 3.68–8.19 3.09–8.78 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.47 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.39 1.22–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 19% 20% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.90 0.46–3.33 0.07–3.72 | 5.39 3.83–6.94 3.41–7.37 | 7.28 4.29–10.28 3.48–11.09 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.