Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.690.933.62safe1.72–3.660.08–1.791.80–5.45safer1.47–3.910.00–2.021.32–5.92
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.813.5511.36safe5.95–9.671.80–5.297.75–14.96safer5.46–10.161.34–5.756.80–15.92
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.228.6729.90safe17.30–25.155.11–12.2422.41–37.38safer16.21–26.244.15–13.1920.36–39.43
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.336.0020.34safe11.39–17.283.32–8.6814.71–25.96safer10.56–18.112.58–9.4213.15–27.53
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.942.618.55safe4.06–7.820.96–4.265.02–12.09safer3.52–8.370.46–4.753.98–13.12
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.523.1810.70safe5.30–9.731.18–5.186.48–14.91safer4.73–10.300.65–5.715.37–16.02
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.4738.46safe54.68–68.2631.68–45.25safer53.01–69.9330.01–46.92
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction6183931011safe550–685327–459877–1144safer532–703309–477841–1180
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction90.6484.13safe86.61–94.6779.81–88.45safer85.32–95.9778.50–89.76
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.938.9619.89safe8.09–13.776.01–11.9014.11–25.67safer7.34–14.535.27–12.6512.60–27.18
Offsides
36%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.763.36safe0.45–2.770.66–2.851.11–5.61safer0.14–3.070.37–3.140.52–6.20
Yellow cards
29%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.833.18safe0.30–2.400.70–2.961.00–5.36safer0.04–2.670.41–3.250.44–5.92
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.355.097.44safe0.91–3.783.54–6.654.45–10.43safer0.52–4.173.11–7.073.63–11.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.69 1.72–3.66 1.47–3.91 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.62 1.80–5.45 1.32–5.92 | 74% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.81 5.95–9.67 5.46–10.16 | 3.55 1.80–5.29 1.34–5.75 | 11.36 7.75–14.96 6.80–15.92 | 87% |
| Total shots | 21.22 17.30–25.15 16.21–26.24 | 8.67 5.11–12.24 4.15–13.19 | 29.90 22.41–37.38 20.36–39.43 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.33 11.39–17.28 10.56–18.11 | 6.00 3.32–8.68 2.58–9.42 | 20.34 14.71–25.96 13.15–27.53 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.94 4.06–7.82 3.52–8.37 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 8.55 5.02–12.09 3.98–13.12 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.52 5.30–9.73 4.73–10.30 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.71 | 10.70 6.48–14.91 5.37–16.02 | 88% |
| Possession % | 61.47 54.68–68.26 53.01–69.93 | 38.46 31.68–45.25 30.01–46.92 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 618 550–685 532–703 | 393 327–459 309–477 | 1011 877–1144 841–1180 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.64 86.61–94.67 85.32–95.97 | 84.13 79.81–88.45 78.50–89.76 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.09–13.77 7.34–14.53 | 8.96 6.01–11.90 5.27–12.65 | 19.89 14.11–25.67 12.60–27.18 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.14–3.07 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.18 1.00–5.36 0.44–5.92 | 29% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 5.09 3.54–6.65 3.11–7.07 | 7.44 4.45–10.43 3.63–11.24 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+