Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.931.872.80safe0.00–1.901.01–2.720.98–4.62safer0.00–2.150.79–2.950.50–5.10
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.415.378.78safe1.55–5.273.63–7.125.18–12.39safer1.06–5.763.17–7.584.22–13.34
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1513.8924.04safe6.22–14.0710.33–17.4516.55–31.53safer5.13–15.169.37–18.4114.50–33.58
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.139.7415.87safe3.18–9.077.06–12.4210.25–21.49safer2.36–9.906.32–13.168.68–23.06
Blocked shots
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.896.39safe0.61–4.372.24–5.552.85–9.92safer0.06–4.921.75–6.041.81–10.96
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.515.428.93safe1.29–5.723.42–7.424.71–13.14safer0.72–6.292.89–7.953.60–14.25
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.7564.36safe28.96–42.5457.58–71.15safer27.29–44.2155.91–72.82
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction321564885safe253–388498–631751–1018safer235–406480–648715–1054
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction78.0288.29safe73.99–82.0583.97–92.61safer72.70–83.3482.66–93.92
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7511.7424.50safe9.92–15.598.80–14.6918.71–30.28safer9.16–16.358.05–15.4317.21–31.78
Offsides
67%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.731.304.03safe1.57–3.890.21–2.401.78–6.28safer1.27–4.190.00–2.681.19–6.87
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.783.79safe0.97–3.060.65–2.911.61–5.97safer0.70–3.330.36–3.201.06–6.53
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.545.83safe1.85–4.730.99–4.102.84–8.83safer1.47–5.110.56–4.522.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.15 | 1.87 1.01–2.72 0.79–2.95 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 18% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.41 1.55–5.27 1.06–5.76 | 5.37 3.63–7.12 3.17–7.58 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.15 6.22–14.07 5.13–15.16 | 13.89 10.33–17.45 9.37–18.41 | 24.04 16.55–31.53 14.50–33.58 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.18–9.07 2.36–9.90 | 9.74 7.06–12.42 6.32–13.16 | 15.87 10.25–21.49 8.68–23.06 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.49 0.61–4.37 0.06–4.92 | 3.89 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 6.39 2.85–9.92 1.81–10.96 | 22% 14% 64% |
| Corners | 3.51 1.29–5.72 0.72–6.29 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.89–7.95 | 8.93 4.71–13.14 3.60–14.25 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 35.75 28.96–42.54 27.29–44.21 | 64.36 57.58–71.15 55.91–72.82 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 321 253–388 235–406 | 564 498–631 480–648 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.02 73.99–82.05 72.70–83.34 | 88.29 83.97–92.61 82.66–93.92 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 11.74 8.80–14.69 8.05–15.43 | 24.50 18.71–30.28 17.21–31.78 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.73 1.57–3.89 1.27–4.19 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 4.03 1.78–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 67% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.97–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.85–4.73 1.47–5.11 | 2.54 0.99–4.10 0.56–4.52 | 5.83 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.