Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
22%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.871.912.79safe0.00–1.841.06–2.770.96–4.61safer0.00–2.090.83–2.990.48–5.09
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.495.098.58safe1.63–5.353.35–6.844.98–12.19safer1.14–5.842.89–7.304.02–13.15
Total shots
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6914.0725.75safe7.76–15.6110.50–17.6318.26–33.24safer6.67–16.709.54–18.5916.21–35.29
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.569.9417.50safe4.61–10.507.26–12.6211.87–23.12safer3.78–11.336.52–13.3610.31–24.69
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.414.327.72safe1.53–5.292.66–5.974.19–11.26safer0.98–5.832.17–6.463.15–12.30
Corners
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.365.379.73safe2.14–6.573.37–7.375.52–13.94safer1.57–7.152.84–7.914.41–15.05
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.0056.81safe35.21–48.7950.02–63.59safer33.54–50.4648.35–65.26
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction390531921safe322–457465–598787–1054safer304–475447–615751–1090
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction78.8681.30safe74.83–82.8976.97–85.62safer73.54–84.1875.66–86.93
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2312.1022.33safe7.39–13.069.15–15.0416.54–28.11safer6.63–13.828.41–15.7915.04–29.61
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.763.17safe0.26–2.580.66–2.850.92–5.43safer0.00–2.880.37–3.140.33–6.01
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.603.26safe0.62–2.710.47–2.731.08–5.44safer0.35–2.980.18–3.020.53–6.00
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.545.86safe1.89–4.760.98–4.092.87–8.86safer1.50–5.150.56–4.522.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 1.91 1.06–2.77 0.83–2.99 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 17% 22% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.49 1.63–5.35 1.14–5.84 | 5.09 3.35–6.84 2.89–7.30 | 8.58 4.98–12.19 4.02–13.15 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.69 7.76–15.61 6.67–16.70 | 14.07 10.50–17.63 9.54–18.59 | 25.75 18.26–33.24 16.21–35.29 | 28% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.61–10.50 3.78–11.33 | 9.94 7.26–12.62 6.52–13.36 | 17.50 11.87–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.98–5.83 | 4.32 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 7.72 4.19–11.26 3.15–12.30 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.36 2.14–6.57 1.57–7.15 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.84–7.91 | 9.73 5.52–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 31% 56% |
| Possession % | 42.00 35.21–48.79 33.54–50.46 | 56.81 50.02–63.59 48.35–65.26 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 390 322–457 304–475 | 531 465–598 447–615 | 921 787–1054 751–1090 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.86 74.83–82.89 73.54–84.18 | 81.30 76.97–85.62 75.66–86.93 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.06 6.63–13.82 | 12.10 9.15–15.04 8.41–15.79 | 22.33 16.54–28.11 15.04–29.61 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.01 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 5.86 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.